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Manmohan Singh At ASEM:GLOBAL POLITY COULD TIDE OVER MESS, by Monish Tourangbam, 27 October 2008 Print E-mail

Round The World

New Delhi, 27 October 2008

Manmohan Singh At ASEM

GLOBAL POLITY COULD TIDE OVER MESS

By Monish Tourangbam

School of International Studies (JNU)

The economist in Prime Minister Manmohan Singh came to the fore during his visit to the 7th Asian European meeting (ASEM) in Beijing. In the largest gathering of leaders under the ASEM since its inception in 1996, he gave a detailed analysis of the global financial crisis and prescriptions on how to tackle the current slump.

With the participation of Manmohan Singh in this summit attended by leaders from 45 Asian and European nations and organizations, India made its debut at the highest level, i.e. heads of Government, at the ASEM summit. In May last year, External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee had attended the Ministerial meeting of the ASEM in Hamburg, Germany. With concerns over ramifications of the current financial crisis topping the priority list of the Asian and European leaders, attending  the summit, Singh took centre-stage bringing up his long-standing experience in discussing financial reforms at the international level, having served as a member of a special International Monetary Fund (IMF) committee tasked with suggesting financial reforms in the 1970s alongside Paul Volcker, who later went on to become chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

In the wake of the current crisis that has forced leaders scampering for a viable solution, Singh thought it prudent to prove his economics’ credentials. Presenting a Keynesian analysis of the meltdown, he said that that any international agenda to reform the international financial system would have to take on board the “economically damaging role of excessive speculative activity.”  Reminding the attending leaders of the Keynesian dictum that speculators did no harm as bubbles on a steady stream surprise of enterprise, he further added, “but the position is serious when enterprise becomes the bubble on a whirlpool of speculation. When the capital development of a country becomes a byproduct of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done.”

According to the Manmohan Singh, the international financial crisis on the failure of regulation and supervision in major developed countries, risk management in private financial institutions and the market discipline mechanism were largely responsible for the current crisis. He further said, “the sad truth is that in this age of globalization, we have a global economy of sorts but it is not supported by a global polity to provide effective governance.’’

Accordingly, he sought the “de-clogging” of the global credit markets which had choked up as a result of the crisis, as the foremost task of the antidote. He was  of the opinion that multilateral institution like the World Bank and IMF had to step in with significant assistance “with less service conditionalities and greater flexibility,’’  which can act as a stabilizer in the global economy. He wanted the IMF to consider creating liquidity through a fresh allocation of Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) in favor of multilateral development finance institutions.

With the French President Nicolas Sarkozy propagating an overhauling of the Bretton Woods system that has governed international finance and China’s Premier Wen Jiabao emphasizing the importance of “financial supervision”, the Indian Prime Minister’s proposals seemed moored to the Bretton Woods system and valued the merits of capitalism and globalization. He rather insisted on the need of “financial governance”. Mr. Sarkozy had called for Asia to support Europe and help in presenting a united voice during the Washington summit to be held in mid-November. In fact, one of the major concerns of Manmohan Singh is the differences in understanding the crisis in Europe, North America and Asia. In the absence of a clear understanding about it, he feared that the upcoming summit in Washington could end up sending out confused and even wrong signals to the global markets.

Most European leaders attending the summit looked towards Asia to play a major role in helping tide the crisis and asked the Asian countries to refrain from using “economic nationalism” as a protection from the likely fallouts of the crisis. Commenting on the effects on the Indian economy, he said that Indian economy cannot remain immune in this age of globalization and that the impact was bound to show sooner or later if the global scene does not stabilize. Though notifying that the stock market and the currency were under pressure due to capital outflows caused by panicky foreign institutional investors, he was optimistic of the Indian economy of maintaining a growth rate of 7-7.5 per cent this year.

Expressing complete commitment to both the commission and omission of policies by his administration, Prime Minister said, “As far as our economy is concerned, we have social safety nets-- programmes like NREGA, good minimum support price to the farmers, plus infrastructure projects like investments in railways, roads and ports. So, we have enough in-built stabilization in our system.” He used the occasion to attack what he called the “bigger players” in global finance, saying that countries like India were victims of the crisis that originated in these countries.

On the sidelines of the summit, Prime Minister Singh also met the Chinese President Hu Jintao and the two sides agreed to work with each other and with like-minded countries to come up with “pragmatic and practical” solutions. He also had a breakfast meeting with German Chancellor Angela Merkel which too centred around the financial crisis. Mr. Singh also met his Pakistani counterpart, Yusuf Raza Gilani and both expressed terrorism as the common enemy of both India and Pakistan. Terming terrorism as a “menace”, Mr. Gilani said, “There is only one stand on terrorism, it is dangerous for both countries… We are poor countries, we can’t afford terrorism and therefore, we should fight [it] jointly. They expressed happiness at the resumption of trade across the Line of Control. Respective concerns were brought out by both India and Pakistan regarding the contentious Indus Water Treaty.

Manmohan Singh also addressed a special session of the ASEM summit devoted to sustainable development, wherein he said climate change was a threat to the environment and dwelt on the need of a holistic approach to tackle the problem. “We cannot do so by perpetuating the poverty of the developing countries, or by preventing their industrialization,” he said. He emphasized the principle of common but differentiated responsibility to be the “cardinal principle of negotiations” in the search for pragmatic solutions within the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change. As envisioned by the National Action Plan on Climate Change, he also reiterated the need for a global “operational strategy” aimed at equalizing the amount of per capita greenhouse emissions from developed and developing countries. Hailing the ASEM summit as a “powerful forum to deal with global issues”, he said the current preoccupation with the financial crisis should not detract from important task of the fulfillment of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), which according to him, needs much more than what countries have currently managed to pledge.---INFA

(Copyright, India News and Feature Alliance)

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