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Assembly Elections:ASSAM SETS A HAPPY TREND, by Insaf, 5 April 2006 Print E-mail

ROUND THE STATES

New Delhi, 5 April 2006

Assembly Elections

ASSAM SETS A HAPPY TREND

By Insaf

The first phase of the crucial Assembly poll in Assam on Monday last for 65 of the 126 constituencies ended on a satisfactory note, hopefully setting a happy trend for the second and final round on Monday, April 10.  The Election Commission and the State Government, headed by Tarun Gogoi of the Congress, had reason to heave a sigh of relief. The polling went off remarkably peacefully.  Despite threats from militant outfits, no violence or untoward incident was reported from anywhere.  What is more, Assam kept up its record of being a high-polling State. As against the voter turn-out of 79.2, 74.7, 78.9 and 74.6 per cent in the last four elections, this time 70 per cent voted, braving uninterrupted rain in the first half of the day.

The large voter turn-out clearly shows that the people have voted for peace.  For the first time, the dreaded ULFA did not boycott the election, thanks to Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi who has been working patiently for months to bring the underground outfit to the negotiating table and convince it against boycotting elections.  Illegal migration from Bangladesh and insurgency, which has claimed more than 10,000 lives, were the main poll issues. Reflecting the popular mood, ULFA Chief Paresh Barua’s 81-year-old mother “cast her ballot for peace.”  The poll is the biggest challenge that faces the ruling Congress and Tarun Gogoi, who is confident of retaining power and establishing a record.

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Pre-Poll Rhetoric

The election may also end up raising some basic issues of national import.  In their anxiety to retain power, the Congress party’s main campaigners, Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and party Chief Sonia Gandhi made statements directed mainly at the party’s Muslim  votebank.  Sonia Gandhi even assured the minority communities (read Muslims, since other minorities hardly exist in Assam) full legal safeguards and protection. Are not such statements,  made repeated directly or indirectly, violative of the Model Code of Conduct?  Election Code?  Was the PM dead serious when he declared that there would be no redrawing of the boundaries in the North-East and no discussion on sovereignty with ULFA? Or was it only electoral rhetoric?

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DMK Too Woos Minorities

Tamil Nadu’s main Opposition, itching to regain power following the one-day Assembly poll on May 8, has promised a goodie bag in its manifesto – Rs.2 a kg. rice, free colour TVs, gas stoves etc. Alarmingly, however, the party, headed by Karunanidhi, has gone overboard to bag Muslim votes: reservations for the minorities in Government departments and educational institutions.  Perhaps this too, is a case of electoral rhetoric, thanks to a surge in Anna-DMK’s fortunes in Tamil Nadu. (Remember, a similar move by the Andhra Pradesh Government last year was struck down by the High Court).  Interestingly, the DMK has suddenly decided to work out a poll understanding with the Congress in adjoining Pondicherry, reversing its earlier decision to go it alone.

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West Bengal Protest To EC

In West Bengal, where the Election Commission has considerably cleaned up the electoral rolls and phased out polling in five prolonged rounds, starting on April 17 and ending on May 5, the ruling CPM-led Left Front is increasingly getting worked up by the Commission’s firm handling of the polls and its myriad whips.   Some senior Left leaders, led by the CPM General Secretary, Prakash Karat, met CEC B.B. Tandon in New Delhi on Monday. They protested against the decision to deploy Central para-military forces on poll duty. Their argument?  This was against the Constitution which gives the States the right to manage law and order. Tandon heard the plea but seems to have forgotten about it!

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White Paper On Bihar’s Economy

Bihar’s Chief Minister, Nitish Kumar, truly faces a Himalayan challenge in his plans to develop the backward State.  A White Paper laid on the table of the Assembly by Finance Minister Sushil Modi shows that the State’s finances are in shambles. The 29-page White Paper elaborates how the State was plunged into a financial crisis during the Lalu Yadav-Rabri Devi regime over the last 15 years.  During 1991-96, there was zero economic growth in the State, as against 5.4 per cent for the country.  In 1994-2002 it was 3.8 per cent as against the national’s average of 6.1 per cent. The State survived alL these years largely on borrowed money. The Nitish Kuamr Government, which took over the reins of office in November last, has now taken up several development projects, which have been highly appreciated not only by the Planning Commission, but also by President Kalam, who has visited the State twice in four months.

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Congress’ Operation U.P.

The surprise announcement that the Rae Bareli byelection to the Lok Sabha will be held on May 8 has brought great cheer to the Congress.  This would enable the party supremo to be back in the Lok  Sabha in just 49 days after she resigned her seat on 23 March in the wake of the office-for-profit controversy. Soon after her re-election she is also expected to get back her Chairmanship of the UPA Government’s National Advisory Council. Moreover, the Rae Bareli bypoll is being used by the High Command to kick-off its “Operation U.P.” and take advantage of the Congress Chief’s “sacrifice.” UP is scheduled to go to the polls for its Assembly early next year.

The timing from the Congress viewpoint could not have been better. U.P’s ruling Samajwadi Party of Mulayam Singh Yadav, in alliance with the Rashtriya Lok Dal of Ajit Singh, is in difficulty. So also is the BJP because of its intra-party problems, notwithstanding the fact that the State’s Thakur leader and former Chief Minister Rajnath Singh is now the party President.  The anti-SP and anti-BJP trend is reflected in the recent biennial elections to the Rajya Sabha. Former Chief Minister Mayawati’s BSP demonstrated its ever-growing clout by poaching votes of not only the vulnerable BJP but also the Samajwadi Party. The two BSP winners polled 16 more votes for the Rajya Sabha while for the Legislative Council it managed to draw in 31 additional votes.

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Increase in Naxal Violence

The steady increase in Left-wing extremist violence is causing mounting concern both to the Centre and the affected States. The “red corridor” has now extended to as many as 15 States, affecting over 170 districts. In other words, about 40  per cent of the Indian terrain is almost under siege of the Naxals. About eight times more Indians are estimated to be affected by the Left-wing terror than all other forms of  militancy put together.  The Naxals’ latest spectacular expansion has taken new territories of Punjab, Haryana, Uttaranchal and Tamil Nadu.  Naxalites are making inroads into Tamil Nadu’s once-exclusive Veerappan zone in Satyamangala forests. They are reportedly coordinating with the LTTE.

The Naxalite attacks increased after the mega-merger between the People’s War Group and the MCC into the CPI (Maoists).  This group is known to be having contact with the ISI of Pakistan, the Maoists of Nepal and some militant groups of the North-East.   The Union Home Ministry has once again reviewed the situation.  The Coordination Centre of Naxalism, headed by Home Secretary V.K. Duggal and comprising Chief Secretaries and DGP’s of the States, has at its 20th meeting last week worked out a strategy once more to meet the menace. This includes modernization of police forces and intelligence agencies of the States.  Such a scheme has been worked out before also.  Its implementation is yet to be seen, even as the Naxals continue to spread their tentacles. ---INFA

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 (Copyright, India News and Feature Alliance)

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