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Economic Highlights
New Delhi, 26 January
2026
HimalayasFace
Snow Famine
GANGA
PLAINS IN ECO CRISIS
By
ShivajiSatkar
An alarm bell is
tolling. A “snow famine”, or more accurately, recurrent and
intensifying snow droughts, is occurring in the Himalayas due to climate
change and weakened weather patterns (Western Disturbances). This decline in
seasonal snowpack has severe, far-reaching impacts on India’s water
security, agriculture, hydropower, and overall ecosystem stability.
The most fertile
cradle of Indian civilisation, the Ganga-Yamuna Do-Aba, could be severely hit
with water shortage, if blasting and construction activities in the Himalayas
is not stopped immediately. The primary drivers behind the Himalayan snow
famine are related to climate change. Human activities in the higher Himalayas
beyond Badarinath and other regions during coldest days, not only in India but
in the neighbouring Pakistan, Nepal and other areas are also contributing to
delayed and scarce snowfalls.
A report on Hindu Kush Himalaya (HKH) by the
International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) confirms this
transformation, reporting a consistent 24 percent decline over the last three
years in seasonal snow cover across the region and this is the lowest of the
last 23 years, warning of serious implications for downstream water
availability.
The study highlights
the frequent occurrence of snow droughts and their hotspots across 11 major
river basins, including the North-Western India, Amu Darya, Indus, Ganga,
Mekong, and Salween river basins, which also experienced a significant decline
in snow cover days.For Indian farms and power grids depend deeply on Himalayan
snowmelt, the implications are profound enduring.
The Himalayas
function as a natural water tower for the Indian sub-continent. Snow
accumulated during winter acts as a slow-release reservoir, feeding rivers such
as the Indus, Ganga and Brahmaputra during the dry pre-monsoon months. This
buffering role checks seasonal water variability. It sustains agriculture,
hydropower generation and urban water supply downstream.That system is now
under strain.
Why the Snow Is
Disappearing
Several
interconnected forces are driving this snow drought. Weakened Western
Disturbances (WDs) are central. These low-pressure systems historically
delivered winter snow and rain to northern India. In recent years, they have
become less frequent, weaker and more erratic, resulting in prolonged dry
winters across Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.
Rising temperatures
compound the problem. The Himalayan region is warming faster than the global
average. Even marginal temperature increases have outsized impacts at high
altitudes, shifting precipitation from snow to rain — particularly between
3,000 and 6,000 metres, the critical snow-accumulation zone. Rain runs off
quickly instead of being stored, while snow that does fall melts earlier in the
season.
Another accelerant is
black carbon deposition. Soot from vehicles, biomass burning and
industrial activity in the Indo-Gangetic plains settles on snow surfaces,
darkening them and increasing heat absorption. This accelerates melting and
shortens snow cover duration.Together, these factors are transforming Himalayan
winters from snow-dominated to rain-dominated — a structural shift with
cascading consequences.
Threat to Water
Security
The most immediate
impact is on water availability. Snowmelt is crucial for maintaining river
flows during late spring and early summer, when rainfall is minimal and demand
peaks. Reduced snow reserves mean lower base flows, intensifying water stress
for cities, irrigation systems and ecosystems.
River basins such as
the Indus, Ganga and Brahmaputra — lifelines for hundreds of millions — are
increasingly vulnerable.For urban centres already grappling with groundwater
depletion and erratic monsoons, declining Himalayan meltwater removes a vital
safety buffer.
Agricultural
Uncertainty
Indian agriculture,
particularly in the north and northwest, is tightly coupled to Himalayan
hydrology. Rabi crops depend on timely meltwater for irrigation. Unseasonal
snowfall, sudden rain-on-snow events, or prolonged dry spells can damage
standing crops and orchards. Horticulture — apples, almonds and cherries — is
vulnerable, as chilling requirements are no longer reliably met.Over time, this
volatility threatens food security, farm incomes and rural livelihoods, adding
economic stress to regions already experiencing climate-driven migration.
Fragile Hydropower
India’s Himalayan
states have invested heavily in hydropower, viewing it as a clean energy
solution. Yet many existing and planned projects in Himachal Pradesh,
Uttarakhand and Arunachal Pradesh depend on predictable spring-summer snowmelt.
Declining and erratic
river flows reduce power generation capacity, complicate reservoir operations
and increase financial risk. Global parallels are instructive: in 2022, parts
of the Alps experienced exceptionally weak snowmelt, contributing to a 25-year
low in Alpine hydropower production by mid-summer.As climate warming
accelerates, India’s hydropower strategy faces mounting uncertainty.
Ecosystems and
Disaster Risks Escalate
The Himalayan
ecosystem is delicate. Reduced snow cover alters soil moisture, vegetation
patterns and wildlife habitats. Alpine flora and fauna adapted to cold
conditions are increasingly stressed, while invasive species move upslope.
More dangerously,
rapid and unpredictable melting raises the risk of Glacial Lake Outburst Floods
(GLOFs), landslides and flash floods. Rain-on-snow events — increasingly common
in warmer winters — amplify runoff and destabilise slopes. Drier winters also
heighten the risk of forest fires, a growing concern across Himalayan states.
Scientific evidence
confirms rapid climate-driven glacier loss, but the long-term implications for
biodiversity and ecosystem functioning remain poorly understood — underscoring
the need for coordinated, long-term research.
Tourism Feels the
Chill
The economic fallout
is already visible in winter tourism hubs like Auli and Gulmarg.
Snow-poor winters have slashed visitor numbers, disrupted ski seasons and hurt
livelihoods dependent on hotels, guides and transport services.As snow becomes
unreliable, the viability of winter tourism itself is in question, forcing
mountain economies to rethink development models built around predictable
snowfall.
Global Trends Mirror
the Himalayan Crisis
What is unfolding in
the Himalayas reflects a global pattern. Studies project that by 2100, snow
droughts could become three to four times more common than in the 1980s, with
“warm” snow droughts — where precipitation falls as rain — dominating by
mid-century.
In 2015, the U.S.
West Coast experienced a classic warm snow drought: normal precipitation but
record-low snowpack, complicating water management decisions such as those at
California’s Oroville Dam. These cases underscore that snow loss, not just
rainfall deficits, defines future water risk.
Adapting to a Snow-Scarce
Future
Experts agree that
adaptation must be multi-layered. Priorities include investing in seasonal
water storage, upgrading irrigation efficiency, strengthening real-time snow
and hydrological monitoring, and developing cross-sectoral drought management
plans and reduced human activities in sensitive ecozones.
Lessons can be drawn
from the Alps, where flexible reservoir operations, coordinated planning and
nature-based solutions have improved resilience. Integrated water management,
community-led adaptation and evidence-based policy will be essential in the
Himalayan context.
Ultimately, the
Himalayan snow famine is not a distant environmental issue. It is a slow-burn
crisis at the heart of India’s water, food and energy systems. Policy changes are
must to save the mountains and the globe.---INFA
(Copyright,
India News & Feature Alliance)
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