Round
The World
New Delhi, 8 September 2023
Modi-Biden Meet
SETTING THE AGENDA
By Dr D.K. Giri
(Secretary General, Assn for Democratic Socialism)
The much-awaited G-20 Summit is happening on 9-10
September. As the President of the Group, India will have the final opportunity
to display its leadership and showcase quite a bit of its cultural heritage.
The city of New Delhi is splashed with posters, banners, festoons with careful
selected evocative messages. Inhabitants of Delhi and the guests arriving for
the occasion can savour them all as they drive along the streets. Attention of
the entire world is focussed on what will transpire in the Summit, and more
important, what will come out of the deliberations in the form of joint
communiques and declarations!
To be sure, a few more laurels will be added to the
Prime Minister and his team for seamlessly conducting the Summit. However, let
us look at some of the red herrings and the opportunities that are associated
with the Summit. One conspicuous development is the absence of Russian
President Putin in New Delhi. Although it was expected as the Russian
‘strongman’ is not stirring out of his country to evade impending arrest
warrant issued by the International Criminal Court, his absence will be felt. Even
more notable is the mysterious refusal of Xi Jinping’s to attend the Summit. It
has still not been explained why he is not coming as he has been present in
previous G-20 meetings. Several theories are peddled about his absence from the
Summit.
Be that as it may, the opportunities presented around
the Summit for India are largely two. One, India may emerge as the voice of the
Global South. New Delhi has commendably brought in the African Union as a new
permanent member of G-20.It will add to India’s claim to represent the
developing countries. Second is the Modi and Biden bilateral meeting on 8
September. Biden has gratuitously expressed his disappointment over Xi
Jinping’s absence from the Summit. What he has not said and should be obvious is
that he is looking forward to meeting Modi, as is the letter.
The moot question is what will constitute the agenda
for the Modi-Biden meet! From the official sources, both sides have been
working on an ambitious set of outcomes for the bilateral engagement during the
Summit. These include a nuclear pact on small, modular nuclear reactors. An
Academic programme tailor-made for Indian students, the drone deal, a defence
deal on jet engines, a joint humanitarian aid for Ukraine, opening of new
Consulates, easing of visas. Discussion on most of these was initiated during
Modi’s state visit to Washington on 22 and 23 June. It is expected to move
ahead on what was agreed upon.
India and the United States signed the nuclear deal in
October 2008 but not much business collaborations have happened since. In the
recent meetings, it has gained some momentum. Negotiations are on between the
Nuclear Power Corporation of India Ltd (NPCIL) and US-based Westinghouse
Electric Company (WEC) for the construction of six nuclear reactors at Kovvada
in Andhra Pradesh. Also, consultations have taken place between the US DOE
(Department of Energy) and India’s DAE (Department of Atomic Energy) for
facilitating WEC to develop the Kovvada nuclear project. The two leaders are
expected to discuss bilateral cooperation in developing next generation small
module nuclear reactor technologies for the domestic market and export. A
nuclear pact on small reactors is in the offing.
The deal on jet engine, which was kind of the highlight
in PM Modi’s state visit, will receive a boost. The deal allows GE Aerospace to
transfer 80 per cent of its technology to India for the production of F414
fighter jet engines. This deal also entails the joint production of the said
jet engines in India under the Air Force’s Light Combat Aircraft programme. Last
week, the US Congress gave the green signal to Biden administration to pursue
the jet engine deal. The bilateral meeting on 8 September should lead to the
conclusion of the deal.
Ease of issuance of visa is also on the cards. During
Modi’s visit, the in-country renewal of H-1B visa was announced. This facility
will help thousands of Indian professionals working in the US to continue to
stay without having to leave the country to renew their work visas. A definite
date for this programme is expected to be announced during Biden’s India visit.
Opening of the Consulates in the respective countries will also be pursued. Two
new US Consulates -- Bengaluru and Ahmedabad – are expected to be announced. A
new Indian Consulate in Seattle is also expected to open.
For quite some time, there have been talks of reform of
multilateral development banks to make them more accommodative of the
developing countries. Biden is expected to push for reforms of such banks in
order to enhance their financial capabilities, their ability to address the challenges
of poverty elimination, aiding economic prosperity and addressing the climate
crises. The other global issues like digital transformation, the responsible
use of Artificial Intelligence and infrastructure investment may also come up. Modi
may push for democratising the digital technology.
Two more geo-political issues that are of critical
importance to each country will come up for discussion, although not reported
so much in the public domain. One is the continuing war in Ukraine which is of utmost
concern to the United States. The US National Security Advisor Jack Sullivan
hinted that Biden will call for a “just and durable peace” for Ukraine and
respect for the UN Charter and international law. He acknowledged that reaching
a consensus on a G-20 statement on Russia’s invasion on Ukraine will be
challenging as Russia is the part of the G-20. The second issue that deeply
concerns India is Chinese belligerence on the borders.
Reverting to Xi Jinping’s non-attendance in the Summit,
one could draw several inferences. While such an exercise may amount to
speculations, what is crystal clear is that Xi Jinping is delivering a big snub
to India by refusing to come. The meeting between Modi and Xi Jinping during
the BRICS Summit was expected to lead to cooling-off of tensions between the
two countries. It was not to be. On the contrary, China came up with a
controversial map showing Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh as parts of China,
also the territories of other neighbouring countries.
Prime Minister Modi should take this opportunity to
impress upon Biden that the US should have a consistent policy vis-à-vis
India-China rivalry. The Prime Minister also should commit to a strategic
alliance like NATO Plus membership to safeguard India’s security interest in
face of Chinese aggression. New Delhi should not have any more illusion of
Russia holding China back against India. India has to carry its own cross for
which strategic alliance is indispensable given the asymmetry between India and
China. In concrete terms, the US should commit to letting India pick the
weaponry from American arsenal to fight China should Beijing lose its head on
the border. Let this bilateral meeting cement the partnership vis-à-vis China. ---INFA
(Copyright, India News & Feature Alliance)
|