Round The World
New Delhi, 9 July
2021
Talibanisation
Of Afghanistan
NEW DELHI MUST
WATCH OUT
By Dr. D.K
.Giri
(Prof.
International Relations, JIMMC
Taliban in
Afghanistan are marching towards regaining power for the second time. Twenty
years ago, Taliban was removed from power by US-led forces. As US and NATO
forces withdraw their troops from Afghan territory, Taliban is darting towards
Kabul to dislodge the government and form their own. From the past experiences
of Taliban rule, the world should be concerned about it. In particular, India,
which bears the brunt of cross-border terrorism by Islamic radicals, should
watch out the Talibanisation of Afghanistan.
Who are the Taliban?
What are their sources of strength? Who patronises and finances them? And how
do they manage to take over power as soon as the foreign forces move out?These
are the questions which have not been probed. In this piece, we seek to unravel
the mystery of the ‘invincibility’ of Taliban vis-a-vis Afghan governments
propped up by the world powers.
Taliban (Students) in
the Pashto emerged in early 1990s in Northern Pakistan after the Soviet
withdrawal from Afghanistan. Pashtun movement occurred in Northern Pakistan and
spread to Afghanistan. It was funded by Saudi Arabia to promote a hard line
Sunni Islam. Obviously, they have been financed by Saudis and anchored in
Pakistan, in the Pashtun areas between Pakistan and Afghanistan. Their main
objective was to restore peace and security in Afghanistan after Soviet
occupation of the country and enforce their own version of Sharia and Islamic
law.
In mid-1990s, funded
by Saudis and militarily supported by Pakistan, Taliban captured the Herat town
bordering Iran.In the next year in 1996, they captured Kabul overthrowing the
government of Burhanuddin Rabbani, one of the founding fathers of the Afghan
Mujahiddin that resisted the Soviet occupation. By 1998, 90% of Afghanistan was
under Taliban control. Initially, they caught the imagination of Afghan people
by doing some good work in the government – controlling corruption, building
roads and other infrastructure for commerce and trade.
However, what raised
the hackles of world leaders is the Islamisation of Taliban variety; meting out
punishments such as public execution of a convicted criminals and adulterers,
amputation of limbs for theft, forcing men to spot beard, and women to wear
burka, banning of television, music and cinema. What was worse, barring the
girls over 10 to attain education. In 2001, the desecration of Bamiyan Buddha incurred
the wrath and anxiety of people across the world. To trace the origin of
Taliban, many of them were educated in Pakistan madrasas. Pakistan, UAE and
Saudi Arabia were the only countries to recognise Taliban in power.
To take the
chronology of Taliban’s rise further, in October 2012, a young girl, Malala
Yousafzaiwas shot for defying the ban on women education. In 2014, there was the
ghastly Peshawar school massacre. In both cases, Taliban hand was suspected. The
‘D’ Day came with the twin-tower attack on World Trade Centre by Al-Qaeda. In
retaliation, the United States and NATO forces invaded Afghanistan to flush out
Osama-Bin-Laden hiding in Afghanistan. Taliban was accused of providing
sanctuary to Laden. On 7 October, 2001, US went after Taliban and by December the
same year, the Taliban government fell. But Taliban Chief Mullah Mohammad Omar
and Bin Laden slipped out of Afghanistan. Later, the Taliban took refuge in Quetta
and operated from there. Pakistan, however, denied the existence of ‘Quetta
Shura’.
Fast forward, on
September 2012, Taliban carried out a massive, sophisticated raid in NATO’s
camp in Bastion base. Next year, the hope for peace sprang as Taliban opened an
office in Qatar. In the meantime, in 2016, the US army killed the Taliban Chief
Mullah Mansour in a drone strike. Thereafter, his deputy MawlawaiHibatullah
Akhundzada took control. Realising perhaps the futility of the ongoing battle,
both Taliban and US, began peace talks brokered by Middle-East countries. A
historic peace deal between the US and Taliban was signed in February 2020.
According to the peace agreement, US had to withdraw its troops from Afghan territory
and Taliban were to negotiate peace and security by giving up armed
insurrection etc.
Confirming the doubts
and apprehension of the world, Taliban did not give up violence, rather changed
its strategy of direct confrontation; instead carried out targeted assassination
of civilians – judges, journalists, peace activists and women in power. They
did not give up their violent extremism and extremist ideology. They did not
even wait until US withdrew its entire force and began the onslaught against
the Afghan government. According to US intelligence, from one fifth to one
third of the country has already come under Taliban control. It is predicted by
most intelligence agencies that Afghan government could fall within six months
after US withdrawal. From the latest account, the Afghan government is
vigorously fighting back.
By most predictions,
including that of General Austin Miller, the US Commander In-charge of Afghan
operation, the country may plunge into a civil war which should be the concern
of the world. So Afghanistan once again is on the cusp of a disaster. The
Afghan government has openly asserted that the US mission in Afghanistan was
incomplete, or rather a failure. They had come to end violence and usher in and
consolidate democratic forces. The Afghan government says this did not happen.
The moot question to
pose to the world powers mainly the US is whether they followed an effective
strategy in taming the Taliban. From day one, it was apparent that Taliban has
been raised and nurtured by Pakistan, with initial financial support from Saudi
Arabia. Yet, the Americans used Pakistan as the frontline state in
proxy-fighting Soviets and then directly confronting the Taliban. If Taliban
was a creation of Pakistan, how was Pakistan going to help overpower them. So,
was it not a self-defeating strategy to patronise Pakistan and by extension the
Taliban.
The question to
address now is, if it is not Pakistan who else is supporting Taliban. It cannot
be Iran as it is a Shia country. Pakistan is next door to Afghanistan like
Iran. So, it has to be either of the two supporting and sheltering Taliban.
Unless, the source of illegitimate support to Taliban is exposed and cut off,
it will not be easy to put them down. In Afghanistan, neither government nor
Taliban can win without outside support. The democratic governments somewhat
lasted as long as they could with active military support from western powers,
mainly US and NATO. Likewise, Taliban has survived with tacit support from
Pakistan backed by its new mentor China. As US withdraws, Taliban gets the
upper hand.
The way to solve the
Afghanistan conundrum is to get the stakeholders around the table and agree on
a transparent and democratic framework which would be Afghan-owned including
Taliban. So the peace and reconciliation agreement has to be done with Pakistan
pushing it to get Taliban to embrace the democratic path. Talking to Taliban,
and not their controllers, is not helping. In fact, the US was indirectly
arming Taliban through Pakistan as well as fighting it through the Afghan
government. This is the crux of the matter. New Delhi should have stressed hard
on this nexus with the US and convince them with tangible evidence. It is still
not too late. ---INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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