Economic
Highlight
New Delhi, 22 March 2021
Economic Policy
BENGAL POLLS KEY TO
FUTURE
By Shivaji Sarkar
West Bengal elections may be a referendum for
India’s economic policies. It will decide whether the politics of “reformist
economy” will continue or force the country to search for a new model.
The stakes are high for BJP as it is keen on
perpetuating high prices to fee-toll regime and so is its eagerness to win the State.
The regional Trinamool-Left forces have put up tough resistance to save their
bastion. If the BJP wins, it will be an endorsement of its policies for sale of
PSUs or the privatisation spree. If the TMC wins on its own or forms government
with the Left-led alliance, nationally the 1991 Manmohanomics, which ushered in
privatisation of national assets and severe woes on the people, would come for
review.
Trinamool Congress leader Mamata Banerjee
leading a fierce battle against the aggressive BJP released her manifesto
promising higher financial aid to farmers, job creation, better health and
education, housing to all and inclusion of more communities in the OBC
category. Yes, caste has made a visible return to Bengal politics from the
supposed myth of the State having risen above caste politics long back.
The BJP’s Hindutva equally has emerged strong
and may polarise voting, not everywhere, but in pockets. It is trying to woo
the economically poor, Matua community, which migrated from erstwhile East
Pakistan or East Bengal, now Bangladesh. Matuas are a sect of scheduled caste
group. Prime Minister Narendra Modi during his visit to Dhaka would visit their
sacred place that is expected to help the party in West Bengal.
The dynamics are more. The TMC leader is
trying hard to woo the Bengali sentiments, against the pan nationalistic cry of
the BJP. The Bengali narrative since Independence has dogged the State and even
led first State Chief Minister Dr BC Ray allege discrimination by Delhi and
consequent flight of capital from the State. Mamata has acted carefully
igniting the sentiments to capture the most media footage even during the
visits of the Prime Minister or other BJP leaders since January 23, Netaji
Subhash Chandra Bose birth anniversary bash at Victory Memorial.
In no recent election, not even in Bihar, the
State parties were seen to be the cynosure of the media as it is being seen in
Bengal. A large number of You Tube channels, certainly getting funds from
different quarters, are showing events and issues that the national media miss.
These not only capture popular moods but also stark economic issues like the
farmers’ agitation, their campaign in the State, inflation-hit people and
midnight discussions on privatisation.
The two-day strike by bank employees and
subsequent strike of insurance workers also are flashed on the social media. Bengal
is discussing demonetisation, its impact on the poor and economy, GST, pushing
through three laws liberalising farm markets and junking of land bill following
problems in Rajya Sabha and also lockdown, social and economic devastation. The
sale of PSUs is being discussed in terms of job losses and how would the
government be able to create jobs. An interesting discussion is on Mamata’s
high-handed style of functioning and centralisation of power in the BJP. In
short, the autocratic behaviour is in question.
West Bengal is not much enthused with ‘One
Nation, One India’ of BJP, whether it is in terms market or cultural
nationalism. Interestingly enough the Central government’s setting up of a
development finance institution with Rs 20,000 crore government-funding is not
enthusing voters. Infrastructure projects, a perception has developed, use more
machines than employing men.
Inflation is hitting the people hard. The
consumer prices have risen by 5 per cent in February. They are worried about
administered rise of petrol and diesel prices, doubling of edible mustard oil
prices to Rs 150, fish, other food items and galloping rise of non-food item
prices. This seethes the voter and this ire is not turned towards Mamata.
To say that this is uniformly hitting the BJP
in constituencies is also not true. It has a strong fighting machine and has captured
a significant space. The Left-Congress-ISF alliance is vying with the BJP to
have the second slot if not the first. The BJP has emerged as the challenger
and carefully sweeps stark economic questions under the carpet with national security
issues or safety of the Hindu community facing an onslaught of highly
aggressive minority population.
Muslim politics has entered a new phase with
the rise of ISF of Furfura peer Abbas Siddique “to highlight their economic
plight”. It is breaking the mould of Muslim politics comprising about 27 per cent
of the population but going high as 80 per cent in some constituencies. Even
the BJP has fielded Muslim candidates. Never before, except in Jammu and
Kashmir, anywhere a Muslim religious identity has been in the forefront. This
may change political pattern in many States and may make BJP more relevant or
not but its polarised politics may have caused the rise of a Frankenstein
against an inclusive Gandhian politics. Will there be a churning also in the
Congress, which has an alliance with AIUDF of Badruddin Ahmed in Assam, and
other parties?
This changing pattern may also influence the
national economy. If the trend strengthens, political parties would have to be
watchful so as not to divide resources on religious community grounds that may
lead to new social strife.
Yes, politics is coercive in Bengal. The
Left, TMC, BJP and others have mastered the art. It can influence the voting
pattern. But be it whatever, the economy is central to Bengal elections. Even a
polarised person would vote for or against the economic policies. No one till
now has answer to corruption and bureaucratic empowerment that was started by
the Left and has not left untouched any political party. The victory of Modi or
Mamata would decide the direction. The BJP has lot at stake not only for the
party but for its rich friends as well and even the much touted National
Education Policy that aims at privatising the sector.
Mamata, if she wins, may emerge as the future
face of non-BJP alliance, which even may include the Left and Congress. There
may begin many changes not only in economic policies, administered prices of
petrol but also move for having constitutional restraint on money powers of the
government. A lot may change or not, Bengal holds the key. ---INFA
(Copyright,
India News & Feature Alliance)
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