Round
The World
New Delhi, 6 November 2020
US Elections
India’s Concerns
By Dr.
D.K. Giri
(Prof, Intl
Relations, JMI)
The
Presidential elections in United States held on 3 November has not yet produced
concrete results. The cumbersome procedure of electing the President has
confused the world perhaps for the first time as to how the President is voted
for and the elections results are announced. Unlike in India or in other
democracies, there is no equivalent of an Election Commission in the United
States; that could arbitrate and announce the electoral verdict. In the United
States, it is the Supreme Court where the judges are nominated takes the final
call.
At the
time of writing we are getting unclear updates on electoral votes but Democratic
Party rival Joe Biden seems to be ahead of President Donald Trump, while
counting was on in a number of states. In the meanwhile, curiously, both
candidates are claiming victory, Trump, on the basis of hope, and Biden on the
margin he has secured so far. Trump has also threatened to take it to Supreme
Court which will give a ruling on counting of the votes. Both accuse each other
of assaulting democracy, disregarding popular mandate and diluting the spirit
and process of elections.
It has
happened before when election disputes have been taken to the Supreme Court. In
2000, the Democratic Party candidate Al Gore lost to George W. Bush in the Supreme
Court and had conceded defeat. But this time around, there is a sharper and
deeper polarisation of the electorate between the Conservative Whites and the
rest. Observers find it the lowest point of American democracy which is marked
by racism, autarky, isolationism and eccentric leadership. The so-called
liberal and progressive Americans talk about reclaiming, “the soul of America”
and “retrieving the American values”.
Amid the
high drama of American elections, let us look at the impact of current
elections on America, and its influence on the rest of the world, in
particular, India. Why do we find it strange or incredible about what is
happening in America? In electoral politics, winning the majority is the name
of the game. The nature of constituting that majority defines the quality of
one’s politics. If the majority is based on universally acknowledged values
like equality, pluralism, dignity and solidarity then one can call it
progressive or else it would be conservative , populist, racist, exclusivist and
so on.
In
politics, or events related to human beings who are ever so dynamic, one must
recognise it first, acknowledge it, and then, if it is not desirable, change
it. But it is quite unrealistic to dismiss a social political process without
understanding it. This is the mistake made by observers across the world. Alternatively,
if you refuse to recognise the reality lest we should embrace it, we have to
rethink democracy itself. Shawn W. Rosenberg, a Professor of Political Science,
Psychology and Social Behaviour in the University of California in a wonderful
book ‘Democracy Devouring Itself: The Rise of the Incompetent Citizen and the
Appeal of Right Wing Populism’ has explained how democracy is faltering and
re-producing so-called negative social and political values.
In the
light of the above premise, Donald Trump had cobbled up a majority in 2016
appealing to nativism, American first. In
electoral terms, is it illegitimate? There are many other leaders including the
present leadership in India, doing the same by appealing to localism and
consolidating Hindu majority. As a
matter of electoral strategy, one could perhaps ignore such sectarian and nationalist
mobilisation, but if such logic is extrapolated to governance that is
objectionable and is to be resisted. This is where Mahatma Gandhi’s principle
of symbiotic relationship between means and ends come into play; noble ends can
be met with equally noble means or ends justify the means. However, in
practical life, one could separate the two. So American politics is not
experiencing anything unique as such trends are sweeping the world.
It is true
that un-statesmanlike utterances by Donald Trump and his eccentric behaviour
have caused a great deal of unease and exasperation among his critics and
supporters alike. I have said more than once in this column, how I was advised
by a Trump supporter in the United States to evaluate the President, ‘by his
actions, not statements’. Despite the tone and language, even his statements
have a consistency, from an interview to Opra Winfrey in 1980s to his entering
the White House in 2016. In videos and books authors have detailed the reasons
for their support to Trump. The facts and figures on economy, security,
America’s military engagement in the world and so on testify Trump’s
accomplishments.
The impact
on the world of a Trump-led or post-Trump America is not going to be much
different. Biden’s language will be more temperate and his tactics more
balanced. But America’s past generosity arising out of its super power status
will not be evident anymore. It will continue to be cautious in its
transactions with other powers. American politics and decision-making is
dependent on several variables and institutions despite the pre-eminent role of
the President. Hence, the continuity of policies pursued through institutions
will hardly be disrupted. The style might change but the substance will remain
the same.
What does
it mean for India? Will Biden in White House water down the growing proximity
between New Delhi and Washington? To start with, Prime Minister Modi’s open
endorsement of Donald Trump in Howdy Modi rally was undiplomatic and left bad
taste. New Delhi should build relationship with countries not individual
leaders however popular they could be. Unlike in India, the institutions in
western democracies are bigger than the individuals. That could be,
interestingly, a saving grace for India. Biden took Harris as his
Vice-President candidate despite a bitter nomination fight between them in the
primaries. Obama, in the past, had appointed his rival Hilary Clinton as the
Secretary of State. Therefore, it is certain that Biden will not carry any
grudge against Narendra Modi and will act in the national interest of the United
States.
It is
rumoured that Biden’s son was involved in business with Chinese companies. That
again may not influence Biden’s dealing with China. Trump has raised the pitch
against China too high for Biden to back track. So the common agenda vis-à-vis
China between India and the United States will continue the collaboration
between New Delhi and Washington. Some Indian observers argue that Chinese
unexpected aggression has pushed New Delhi into American tent or else it would
have stayed away from Trump’s America. This argument does not hold.
The
proximity between US and India has been growing since 1999 when Vajpayee was
the Prime Minister, or even before during Narasimha Rao time. Rao was a
pragmatic politician. Unlike Nehru family, he refused to be courted by Soviet
leadership. The four foundational military agreements making India a practical
ally of United States began to be signed much before the latest Chinese
territorial incursion.
Whatever
happens in United States’ Presidential elections the lesions for India are
primarily two. Let us not take a
moralistic position on American politics, and secondly, build and re-build the
relationship in regard to issues, institutions and interest not personalise it.
---INFA
(Copyright, India News & Feature
Alliance)
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