Round The
World
New Delhi, 30 October
2020
2+2 In Delhi
GREATER THAN CHINA
By Dr D.K. Giri
(Prof, Intl Relations, JMI)
Much-publicised 2+2
meeting between India and the US concluded on 27th October
triggering a good deal of reflection in at least three capital cities – New
Delhi, Washington DC and Beijing. The meeting was observed by majority of the
countries in the world. What is the significant outcome of the meeting for
India-US bilateralism, the security of Indo-Pacific region, and containment of
aggression by China?
Indubitably, the
meeting meant a lot for India which is in a deadly border stand-off with China
for about last six months. Eight rounds of negotiation between various levels
of Army leadership have already taken place. But the status quo post-May 2020
remains frustrating New Delhi’s attempt to restore the status quo that existed
before May. Although India and China have experienced longer border skirmishes
and stand offs, one is not sure how the current stalemate is going to be
resolved.
Interestingly,
India’s border conflict with China coincides with the US fight against the
latter for supremacy of world leadership. The current leadership in Beijing,
buoyed by a rapid and huge economic and technological growth has covertly
challenged US’ solo-super power status. Having propped up China primarily to
exploit its demographic dividend, cheap man-power and stringent anti-labour
laws, the US is desperately fighting back to restrain China and retain its
numero uno position in world politics.
For some inexplicable
reasons, Beijing flexed its military and economic muscles to underline its
hegemony in Indo-Pacific region. Fearing competition and resistance from India,
Beijing decided to bully New Delhi. New Delhi’s opposition to China’s way of
doing things – buying off its neighbours, meddling in India’s internal affairs
using its satellite state Pakistan and so on - was manifested in her refusal to
join Beijing’s flagship project Belt and Road Initiative.
Against such a
backdrop, in the form of a common threat from China, the 2+2 comprising foreign
ministers and defence ministers of India and the US met for the third time.
Although, the Indian ministers attending the meeting were reticent about naming
China, the US, namely the Foreign Secretary Mike Pompeo has been vigorously
vocal against Chinese aggression and expansion in the Indo-Pacific region. He
has travelled from Delhi to Colombo and Male to beef up US strategy to counter China
in those countries. Pompeo announced the opening up of the US Embassy in Male
to monitor Chinese expansive activities in the Island country.
In Delhi, in the 2+2
meeting, the agenda consisted of defence cooperation, restoration of the supply
chain disrupted by the pandemic, and sharing of vaccines, therapeutic and
medical equipments. The situation in Afghanistan, cross-border terrorism
sponsored by Pakistan also figured in the discussion. But the most important
item was the signing of the Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement (BECA)
which would enable sharing of sensitive and strategic military communication
between the armies of two countries. Significantly, India will be able to
access satellite imagery, maps and aeronautical data that will help the
military to accurately strike targets. Furthermore, India could acquire
sophisticated drones from US which will help find accuracy of automated systems
and weapons like missiles.
The just-signed
agreement is the last of four foundational agreements building the defence
partnership. The other three are: Communications Compatibility and Security
Agreement (COMCASA) signed in 2018, Logistic Exchange Memorandum of Agreement
(LEMOA) in 2016, the General Security of Military Information Agreement
(GSO-MIA) in 2002. These agreements seal a security deal even short of a formal
alliance. In other words, these agreements provide intelligence, surveillance
and reconnaissance (ISR) during joint exercise and operations. In addition,
under the purview of Defence Technology and Trade Initiative (DTTI) both the
countries have scope for co-development and co-production of technologies.
How is the latest
India-US defence pact viewed in three countries – India, China and the United
States? The US, on its part, makes it clear that it is interested in building a
healthy and robust partnership with India for peace and security in
Indo-Pacific region and beyond. The statement by the powerful Foreign Secretary
of US, who was the chief spy of their country as head of CIA and has been
tipped by Donald Trump to run for presidency in 2024, testifies US’ intentions.
He said, “We regard US-India comprehensive global strategic partnership to be
critical to the security and prosperity of countries, the Indo-Pacific region
and the world”. On Chinese threat at the border, Pompeo assured “We will stand
with the people of India to confront threats to their sovereignty and liberty”.
Beijing has dismissed
US role or presence in India-China relations or disputes. It maintained that
the border dispute between both countries is a bilateral issue and will be
solved bilaterally. Beijing also has held the view that any alliance, be it
India-US or the Quad, should be made for collective peace and security, not
aimed against any particular country. Underlying such rhetoric is the growing
Chinese concern over the consolidation of Quad and India-US partnership. For
the first time, all four Quad members will be participating in a joint naval
exercise in Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea in November 2020.
New Delhi has been
cautious in snuggling up to the US tent for various reasons. The Congress/UPA
regimes leaned towards former Soviet Union and China. That is why the
relationship with US was cold-shouldered, except under the Prime Ministership
of Narasimha Rao and Manmohan Singh. In particular, Singh signed the nuclear
pact with USA even risking the stability of his alliance government. The
governments of BJP/NDA broke the mould in our foreign policy and restructured
our relationship with countries. The personal chemistry between Prime Minister
Modi and Trump has enhanced the partnership, and the unexpected Chinese
incursion in Ladakh area leapfrogged the bilateralism between India and US.
Defence experts
suggest that these agreements provide adequate safeguards to protect India’s
autonomy and sovereignty. The US has been sensitive to India’s stance of
neutrality and autonomy etc. No wonder the Indian leadership keeps talking
about a multi-polar world or at times a plurilateral world politics. The Indian
Foreign Minister after the meeting talked about, “a multi-polar world which
must have a multi-polar Asia as its bases”. Both the Indian Ministers did not
name China and encouraged US to take frontally on China. That is why Pompeo in
New Delhi, called China an enemy of democracy and the free world, and in
Colombo called it a predator.
The critics mainly on
the Left express deep suspicion about growing affinity between India and the
US. They fear Indian armed forces being bound with American military and their
strategic designs. The interlocking of electronic and communication system
could have adverse affect on the integrity and autonomy of Indian defence
structure. It is not, they contend, in the national interest. The Central
Government should continue to negotiate with China at the highest political and
diplomatic levels to resolve the border issue, not by being subordinate to
America’s geopolitical strategy in Asia.
This contention is
plainly absurd. The Indian government should appoint such critics of US and
advocates of negotiation with China as interlocutors to retrieve 4800 sq kms of
our land from Chinese occupation and to mitigate the current standoff at
Ladakh. They should better remember Winston Churchill’s famous words during the
Second World War in regard to the Nazis, “You cannot negotiate with a tiger
when your head is in its mouth”. ---INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
|