Open Forum
New
Delhi, 6 May, 2020
Rescue Package
PLAN, NO MORE DITHERING
By Dhurjati Mukherjee
The continuation of the lockdown for another
two weeks with minor relaxation may well be understandable given that the
government is aware of the consequences of the pandemic spreading in a country
which has poor health infrastructure, other than social distancing being a
major challenge as a large section of city population lives in slums, squatter
settlements, railway tracks etc. However, the looming economic crisis is
extremely critical with the government not in a position to provide food to the
hungry millions despite the country being self-sufficient in food stocks.
A recent paper of International Commission of
Jurists has alleged the Indian government has fallen short of its ‘obligation’
to ensure that citizens had access to adequate food and that during the Covid-19
crisis there has been discrimination and violence against Muslims and dalits.
Referring to the Global Hunger Report 2019, it found that 400 million informal
sector workers were “at risk of falling deeper into poverty during the Covid-19
crisis amidst hunger pangs making deep forays into the Indian society”.
Detailing how Muslim vegetable and fruit
vendors have reportedly been prevented access to neighbourhoods in Delhi and
Rajasthan and beaten up, while Gujjar milkmen in Jammu, Himachal Pradesh and
Punjab have faced boycott as well as physical violence, the paper points out to
the governments’ failure to enforce the criminal law, including Scheduled
Castes and Scheduled Tribes (Prevention of Atrocities Act), 1989. These, it
said seek to prevent acts of violence and discrimination and that the lack of
protection of food vendors is incompatible with India’s obligation to protect
the right to food. The paper also rightly highlighted the obvious that millions
of citizens are still living in deprived conditions in urban and rural areas
and lack access to adequate food, health and sanitation facilities, shelter
etc.
As is a familiar sight, migrant labourers and
the poor are lining up twice a day for food to keep hunger at bay across States.
People without work and money fear it is not the pandemic but hunger which shall
kill them. Already 135 million people had been facing acute food shortage and now
with the lockdown, 130 million more shall go hungry in 2020, cautioned Arif
Hussain, Chief Economist, World Food Programme, a UN agency. Worse, an estimated
265 million people could be pushed to the brink of starvation by the year end.
It is a fact that from Honduras to South Africa to India protests and looting
has broken out amid frustrations about hunger. In India, it is estimated that
368 million children have lost out on their midday meals and snacks in schools.
Analysts observed that though the hunger
crisis is global and caused by a multitude of factors linked to the pandemic,
in India the lingering economic slowdown since August last year has resulted in
interruption of the economic order and loss in income for countless millions
due to other factors too such as climate change, violence, population
dislocation and human disasters.
It is anybody’s guess when the 300-350
million Indians, who live below the poverty line, will be able to regain a
semblance of dignity. The fractures and fissures in our civil society are
widening and beginning to threaten the stability of our social existence. Also
severe economic crisis has surfaced due to the country’s very poor health
infrastructure, which has never received the priority it deserved. Wrong
planning such as starting of bullet trains, modernisation of airports, random
foreign travel of ministers and officials and Rs 20,000 crore plan of a Central
Vista – is not going to help development of health infrastructure or improve
lives.
Some experts believe the new Covid ‘Brahmanism’
uses age old customs such as social distancing with the low castes and poorer
sections like dalits, adivasis etc. There is the standard middle class anxiety
about contagion caused by the crowded lives of the poor, aggravated by the
prejudice that Muslims are a dangerous and alien subset of the poor who need to
be more rigorously quarantined. Coronavirus perhaps is a challenge that caste
society was built to meet.
Faced with an absurd definition of poverty,
the government’s inaction is well manifest. Though high levels of GDP were
recorded in the past few years, it had virtually no effect on the struggling
masses. Way back in September 2011, Justice Dalveer Bhandari had stated “not a
single person should die out of starvation” and ordered distribution of
additional foodgrains in 150 poorest districts. Poverty and hunger have even drawn
judiciary’s attention but the situation at the ground level sadly hasn’t
changed. The questions to be asked are: would politicians take turns to live
for a few days in the households of the poor and try to understand the hunger,
anger and anguish which is stripping the common man of the right to live with
dignity? Have they tried to understand the root cause behind the suicide of
around 2 lakh farmers who left behind tales of debt, poverty and sorrow?
Regarding the condition of migrant workers,
it cannot be denied they are struggling to survive the six-week lockdown in States,
with governments not playing an active role in providing relief to an estimated
100 million workers. The situation may deteriorate further as lockdown may be
extended further, aggravating the financial crisis. Worse, the country has no
central registry of migrant workers despite passing legislation 40 years ago to
establish such a database.
Additionally, 11 crore people engaged in
around 6.5 crore MSMEs have not worked for a single day in April, while 8-9
days work was lost in March and some days will also be lost in May. Congress’
former Finance Minister Chidambaram rightly suggested the party’s proposal for
Rs 1 lakh crore wage protection assistance to help MSMEs pay wages for April
and Rs 1 lakh crore Guarantee Fund for these entrepreneurs to help them borrow.
He also urged the government to announce a pay cheque protection programme,
similar to the one announced in the US.
With the IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook stating
that “first time since the Great Depression, both advanced and emerging market
and developing economies are in recession,” the government needs to come out
with a concrete plan without further delay. Besides, former RBI governor Raghuram Rajan has
recently estimated that India will need to spend Rs 65,000 crore, which is not
much where GDP is Rs 200 crore, to help with food and cash for the poor reeling
under the crisis.
Clearly, the government cannot dilly-dally any
further and must focus on the poor and economically weaker sections and not just
think of making things easy for business houses. India’s pathetic rescue
package of just one per cent – compared to Japan’s 20% of GDP and that of US
10+6% of GDP – cannot tackle the problem of a country with a huge population
and high density. According to economists, even Nobel Laureate Prof. Abhijit
Banerjee, the RBI must print additional sums of money without bothering for the
fiscal deficit and make available at least 3-4% of GDP for economic recovery.
The government will do well to remember the adage: a stitch in time saves nine.
---INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
New
Delhi
4
May 2020
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