Round The
World
New Delhi, 30 November 2018
Donald Trump
INDIA’S BEST FRIEND EVER!
By Dr D.K. Giri
(Prof. International Politics, JMI)
The Donald Trump Administration
has just warned Pakistan to punish the perpetrators of the horrendous violence
in Mumbai, infamously known as 26/11, where 166 innocent people including six
Americans were killed and many scarred for life. It has also announced the
payment of $5m under the Reward for Justice Programme for any information or
assistance that would lead to arrest of the perpetrators of the crime.
It is no secret that
the murderers came from Pakistan by a boat, guided on phone by their handlers
in Islamabad. US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said in a terse message to
Pakistan, “It is an affront to the families of victims that, after 10 years,
those who planned the Mumbai attack have not been convicted for their
involvement, namely, Laskar-e-Tayyiba and its affiliates.”
Unlike his
predecessors, President Trump has taken tough action against Pakistan. He has
been tweeting bluntly on the duplicitous deeds of Islamabad in regard to
terrorism. He said: “Pakistan gives nothing but lies and deceit.” He suspended
and then diverted $300 million in military aid meant for Pakistan. He tweeted
on 19 November 2017, “We no longer pay Pakistan billions of dollars because
they would take our money, and do nothing for us, like Bin Laden, Afghanistan,
etc”. He added, “We have given 1.3 billion a year, but they did not do a damn
thing for us.” Trump Administration accused Pakistan of harbouring dubious
policy of nurturing specific jihadist groups in Afghanistan and India.
Furthermore, the US helped
put Pakistan on the list of Financial Action Task Force that disallows any
country accused of sponsoring terrorism from accessing international financial institutions.
That has dealt a crippling blow to Pakistan’s tottering economy. Remember, Pakistan
politics and military were heavily funded by Americans. As America withdraws
this support, Pakistan’s economy has tanked and they are desperately looking
for alternatives for survival.
As China chokes its
support to Pakistan, and there are growing signs of antagonism between
Pakistanis and Chinese, as seen recently in the attack on the Chinese consulate
by Baluch Liberation Army (BLA), Pakistan is desperate. America’s retributive
actions against Pakistan will force it to rethink on its policy towards
terrorists. India need not then have to spend on countering terrorism.
The second and bigger
collateral benefit for India derives from America squeezing China economically,
and curbing its expansionism militarily. As of now, India cannot contain or
subdue China on its own. So if China is cowed down by USA, it is good for India
as it is increasingly being encircled by China.
The Trump
Administration has identified China as their biggest geo-political issue. They
perceive it to be their biggest long-term strategic threat. Since Xi Jinping
got ensconced in leadership ‘forever’, China has become more communist,
oppressive and expansionist. It has moved from a market economy to a command
economy. Americans believe China stole their technology, trillions of dollars
of intellectual property, Donald Trump declared, “We lost 70,000 factories
since China joined the World Trade Organisation. The undue advantages Chinese
took of US liberal trade approach is vividly depicted in a film titled “Trump
at War”.
Americans are fully
aware that China is militarising the South China Sea and parts of Indian Ocean.
About 5 trillion trade passes through South China Sea annually. China has
camouflaged its 500 tonne fishing boats as military boats, and has launched
several in South China Sea. Like Mao Tse Tung, Xi Jinping is showing his true
colours. He came up in the leadership ladder innocently and harmlessly, but
now, he shows his naked ambitions. He has turned China into a totalitarian
police State. Past American Presidents failed to see the trade and military
ambitions of Beijing as they thought that regular trade with China will have a
moderating influence on its behaviour. That proved to be a false notion. Trump
is the first President to recognise the threat from China.
Now Americans feel
that Chinese believe the future to be theirs. As they prepared for 100 years of
People Republic of China in 1949, they seek to overtake USA. Chinese believe
that US is a declining power and that the free people and capitalism will
explode. China desires to be a superior power to USA. It is encircling India,
the other growing power in South Asia, by buying into her neighbours. It is
lending money through projects that are not needed, thereby indebting the
receiving countries. It has no oil. So it is creeping into the Middle East. It
is the only country that claims territories from other countries. China’s
expansionism is an open secret and a threat to many. But only the US takes it
more seriously and determines to counter it.
It may be argued by
some in Indian foreign policy circle, that the US is checking China in order to
retain its status as solo superpower. That may be the case. But doesn’t it help
India to see that Chinese wings are clipped and it remains inferior to the US
in military and economic terms? The US does not have territorial claims or
interest in South Asia, but China has. It has usurped large chunks of Indian
territories and is claiming more. It has gone against India’s interest in most
international fora. It has opposed India’s entry into Nuclear Supply Group and the
UN Security Council. China has supported Pakistan and shielded the terrorists. In
the past, it has declared war on India. It has, in recent years, drawn India
into several border skirmishes, the latest being Doklam.
Judging from
America’s confrontational policy towards China and Pakistan, the axis that
poses formidable threat to India, Trump is the best friend of India. New Delhi
and Prime Minister Modi have done well to cultivate America’s closest allies –
Israel and Japan. But Modi has not yet ‘charmed’ his way to Trump. It is time
that New Delhi recognised Trump’s contribution, albeit indirectly, to India’s
security.
True, Trump is
transactional, has a business approach and keeps America’s interest paramount.
But so is Modi. He claims, as a Gujarati, to have business in his blood. So be
it. He can deal better with Trump. And Modi’s business priority should be
India’s security and prosperity.
Understandably, there
are apprehensions in New Delhi about Trump cooling down on India after the
latter signed the deal on S-400, in the face of America’s sanctions; for
instance, New Delhi’s disappointment in Trump’s refusal to be the ‘guest of
honour’ at the Republic Day. New Delhi could convince Americans that it was an
inescapable deal, although I have argued in this column that India could have
foregone this deal with Russians and gone for alternative, nor done it at all.
India could have done a different security strategy. At any rate, New Delhi
should think afresh on its long term security interest and talk openly to the
Americans. -- INFA
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