Economic
Highlights
New Delhi, 4 January 2007
Power Sector Needs Reforms
By Dr. Vinod Mehta
One of the remarkable
contradictions of the Indian economy is that it is booming despite the fact
that the power sector is in a relatively bad shape. Even after sixty years of
independence we are still facing shortage of electricity in many parts of the
country. There is no instance in economic history which shows economic
development without electricity. This
could be considered as an aberration in the short run. But power shortage is
definitely going to affect the performance of all the sectors and the overall
growth in the coming years. Therefore, the production of electricity needs to
be augmented on a war footing.
If we take the sector wise
consumption of electricity, both industry and agriculture together consume
around 64% of the electricity produced in the country while the domestic sector
consumes less than 20%, commercial sector
around 5%, railways around 2% with all the others consuming the rest of the electricity.
It is common knowledge that
electricity is one of the most important inputs for economic development of a
country. The regular supply of electricity to agriculture and to industry,
including transport like railways is very important for realizing a higher
growth rate of around 8 to 9% which our planners have been envisaging. It was
Lenin in the Soviet Union who realized the
importance of electricity; for him in an undeveloped country the transformation
of its power base was essential as a pre-condition
for its modernization. This holds true
even in India’s
context.
Unfortunately, nothing much has
been done to develop the power sector and it has been allowed to fall pray to
populist approaches like free electricity to farmers. Shortages of electricity
have become very common. The available figures show the power generation
capacity has increased from 1300 MW in 1947 to 102907 MW by 2001. But this is
not enough to cater to the needs of the country as there is big shortage of
power of around 13%. We are mainly dependent on thermal power. As per the
available figure, 80% of India’s electricity is produced in thermal facilities
using coal or petroleum products, about 17.7% is generated by the
hydro-electric facilities and 2.3% by nuclear power plants.
According to the Capsule Report
on Infrastructure Sector Performance for the period April 2004 to February 2005
released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, the power
shortage during April 2003 to February 2004 was 7%. The peak hour shortage
during April 2004 and February 2005 was 12.1%. The overall power shortage in
the northern, western, southern, eastern and north-eastern region was 9.4%,
11%, 1.6%m 2,2% and 6.1% respectively. During this period generation capacity
of 3643.92 MW was added against the target of 4990.72 MW which lagged behind
the target by 27%. If we continue like this, we will never be able to solve the
problem of power shortage in the coming years. As a consequence, apart from the
domestic sector, the industrial and agricultural sector will continue to suffer
as before.
Though the government has been
making considerable investments in the power sector yet the investments are not
sufficient. Moreover, the equipments have become old and have not been replaced
for reasons best known to the government. When electricity is transmitted over
long distances, some electricity is lost. Though the transmission
and distribution losses have come down from
22% in 1995-96 to 20.8% in 1998-99, it is still significant percentage. Besides
losses through transmission
and distribution, significant losses also arise
due to theft and pilferage.
Due to historical reasons various
equipments and systems used in generation, transmission
and distribution networks are not of very high efficiency resulting in huge losses and wastage of large quantities of power. Due to
the low efficiency system, the losses run to
several thousands of MW of power generated ultimately reducing the total power
available to the users. It is estimated that over 25% distribution transformers
fail every year in the State Electricity Boards (SEBs) compared to less than 1% abroad.
Apart from facing shortages of
electricity the cost of power as paid by the industrial and residential
consumers is among the highest in the world. The electricity supplied to
agricultural sector is either highly subsidized or made available free. The
tariff rates for commercial, industrial and rail are more than the average per
unit cost and less for agricultural
consumers. The industrial consumers have to pay as much as Rs.4.2 to Rs.4.80
per unit in some states which is higher than the captive power generation cost
of Rs.3.30 per unit. The average tariff is Rs.4.00 per unit in India compared to Rs.2.2 in Malaysia, Rs.2.00 in the Philippines, Rs. 1.00 in Indonesia and eighty paise in Thailand.
The Government has made plans for
additional capacity of 100,000 MW by 2012 to solve the problem of shortages.
This plan will require huge investments close to over Rs.800,000 crore for
generation and associated transmission and distribution networks. How are we going to
achieve this? If we go by the past performance it is a Herculean task. The
achievement of additional generating capacity was only around 50% of the target
in the IX Plan (1997-2002). On top of it, a significant part of the scarce
funds are used to pay subsidies to the power sector. As per the Planning Commission, the total subsidies in the power sector amount to
about Rs.22 billion, which includes commercial losses
of SEBs often shown as subsidies.
All this brings us to the point
of reforms in the power sector. It is clear that the government will not be
able to find the necessary resources for
investment. Therefore, as a first step we need to allow private sector and
joint sector or even allow FDI on a large scale in the power sector. It would
be impossible for the country to garner
Rs.800,000 crores for the power sector during the next seven years. This
investment is for the new generating capacity but we also need funds to replace
the old generators, transformers and distribution equipment so as to cut down
the losses in distribution of power as well
as bring down the unit cost of production in the coming years.
There is also an urgent need to
review the pricing policy. Cross subsidization
must come to an end in the next two to three years. Instead of sticking to cross subsidization of power to agriculture and the
domestic sector the effort should be to bring down the unit cost of production
to the ones available in the countries like Philippines,
Indonesia and Thailand.
When the unit cost of production goes down the tariff charged from actual users
will also go down.
This in turn will make the
industry and agriculture competitive in the world. There will also be no need
to provide free electricity to the agricultural sector as is being done in
certain states at the moment. If the unit cost of production is very low, there
will be no need to give any subsidies to any sector as the actual consumer will
be able to afford electricity at low tariffs.
It may be mentioned that the
Electricity Supply Act of 1948 enjoins the SEBs to ensure a minimum return of
3% of the available fixed assets in use but
hardly any SEB is in a position to do so as almost all of them are running into
losses. It is high time that all the
political parties come together to support the reforms in the power sector to
enable the country to realize its economic potential and move ahead..---INFA
(Copyright,
India News and Feature Alliance)
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