Events & Issues
New Delhi, 8 December 2014
Maharashtrian Drama
‘SENA’ GETS POWER,
AT LAST!
By Nikhil
Gajendragadkar
Politics is a bigger ‘game of uncertainties’ than Cricket,
at least in India.
Incident like the main Opposition party joining the Government (or treasury
benches) can be seen only here. Maharashtra’s
new BJP government has expanded mainly to accommodate estranged ally, the Shiv Sena.
The ‘Saffron Alliance’ is back in power after 15 long years.
The Shiv Sena vehemently opposed the BJP in the Assembly
elections, refused to support it, put forth many conditions to back it but eventually
gave in. It got its share of power but at what cost? The course of events from
Assembly elections to this expansion has been full of twists, turns and ‘drama’
indeed. A recap speaks volumes of the political intrigues for being in
power.
After the October elections, a hung Assembly emerged in Maharashtra. The BJP managed to be the largest party but
was unable to form the Government on its own. Who would lend it support was a
crucial question. It had decided to snap ties with the Shiv Sena just before
the polls. Friends had turned foes. Their campaign was bitter. Sena chief
Uddhav Thackeray hoped to clinch power on its own, but was humbled with only 63
seats coming its way.
Unlike the Centre and Haryana, the BJP failed to win a majority
in the State and was looking for partners to form the Government. It tactfully
postponed the formation after Diwali to cool tempers. Hope for the Shiv Sena was
rekindled. Feelers were sent, through media and secretly. Talks--overt and
covert -- did take place, but the Sena started throwing tantrums and asked for
minimum 12 ministerial positions. Uddhav’s demand of key and ‘plum’ portfolios
like Home and Finance and Deputy Chief Minister were seen as roadblocks. The BJP
high command flatly refused and it was clear the Sena wouldn’t join hands.
However, Sharad Pawar’s National Congress Party sprung a
surprise by declaring its support to ‘would be’ BJP Government on the very day
of counting of votes (19th October), as the trends predicted the BJP
becoming the largest single party. Interestingly, the BJP had not asked for it!
But this put the Sena in a tight spot, as its backing became insignificant.
Uddhav was in a fix.
What is seen as a desperate push is that before Devendra Fadnavis
was elected as BJP’s Leader of Legislative party, Uddhav offered support to
‘any person’ the BJP chose as the CM, ‘in the larger interest of the State.’
Still nothing happened. While Uddhav was hoping for an invitation from its old
partner, the Governor asked the BJP to form the Government and prove its
majority on the floor of the House. Here Uddhav saw his chance and upped the ante
for a major share of power in lieu of support. The BJP high command ignored him
again.
Furious, the Sena came down heavily on ‘betrayal by BJP’ and
decided to sit in Opposition and oppose the ‘vote of confidence.’ Fadnavis Government
proved its majority by a controversial ‘voice vote’ and survived. It was clear
that the NCP helped it by participating even though earlier it had decided to
abstain. This angered the Sena no end. Its members demanded division of votes
but the Speaker rejected it.
The Congress termed the entire exercise as violation of the Constitution
and demanded Fadnavis’s resignation. The NCP, charged the Sena of unnecessarily
creating a scene and not being a ‘serious opposition’ as its members were not
in the House the vote took place. This further infuriated Shiv Sena. It looked
directionless. A case in point is the Cabinet expansion in Delhi. Last minute it refused to accept the
berth offered and called back its MP. The rift had widened. The special Assembly
session ended, the 10-member Government was intact and the Sena got the ‘Leader
of the Opposition’ seat.
However, as the winter session of the Assembly approached
nearer, efforts started anew to bring estranged friends together. By end-November
reconciliation seemed probable. Reports of BJP President Amit Shah and Uddhav
talking over the phone became headlines. The Sena apparently tried to again
push its demand of Deputy CM and Finance portfolio, but Shah and Modi declined.
This time, the Shiv Sena veered around and decided to join the
Fadnavis Government. Ten of its members were made ministers. With an equal
number from the BJP, the expanded Government has 30 ministers now. However,
Fadnavis has retained Home with him and there is no Deputy CM. Both Finance and
Revenue portfolios also remain with BJP, with Industries been given to Sena.
Indeed, Uddhav was compelled to accept portfolios of secondary importance such
as PWD (given to Shinde who was earlier Leader of Opposition), Environment, Health
and Family Welfare etc. Some members are Minister of State and will work under
BJP ministers.
‘Why’ this happened is more important than ‘how’ it
happened. Immediately after the elections a section in the Shiv Sena was eager
to join the Government. The reason being it felt the verdict had favoured the
‘alliance’, and that the party must go with the BJP without much ado. Remember,
they have been out of power for 15 long years. Last time, the Sena had an upper
hand, but now the situation had changed. It was no longer the ‘big brother’.
With the opportunity lost, this section grew restless. The leadership is learnt
to have sensed an imminent danger of a split. Perhaps, the BJP smelt the unrest
brewing and obviously took advantage of it.
However, it couldn’t last too long. Sharad Pawar’s statement
asking his cadres to be prepared for polls indicated that the Fadnavis couldn’t
take his party’s support for granted. This meant that the Government would be
at the NCP’s mercy. Risky and unacceptable. More so as the previous Congress-NCP
Government was riddled with many scams and scandals and Fadnavis would need to
start enquiry in some of the cases.
And if this happens, then the NCP would obviously withdraw
support. Old friend Shiv Sena will too not help or if it did extend cooperation
the price would be very heavy. So what options are left? Instead of going back
to polls it is better to convince the Sena and bring it around. At least their
alliance will ensure a safe and stable Government.
Well, this has happened now. Thanks to Minister of Co
Operation Chandrakant Patil, who played an important role in this ‘patch up.’
He has direct access to Modi and Shah, enjoys support of the RSS and is now a
powerful political figure in the State. As for the Congress and NCP, the two are
now vying for the post of Leader of Opposition, left by the Sena. The tangle
will hopefully be resolved in the ongoing winter session of Assembly. Till
then, at least there is certainty on once count-- the Shiv Sena has gained
power-- partially but its credibility has eroded. Damage control may well be
the next drama. --- INFA
(Copyright,
India News and Feature Alliance)
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