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Environmental WMDs:ACT OR ELSE FACE EXTINCTION, by Suraj Saraf,27 October 2009 Print E-mail

Sunday Reading

New Delhi, 27 October 2009

Environmental WMDs

ACT OR ELSE FACE EXTINCTION

By Suraj Saraf

The world is already face to face with environmental WMDs (Weapons of Mass Destruction) and there isn’t much time left for mankind to jointly adopt measures to ward off the impending cataclysm. Not mere words but a stern warning from experts from varied fields.  

The catastrophe will result from increasing overuse of natural resources that are outstripping nature’s capacity to replenish in addition to ongoing human activity, which is causing climate change. Both these WMDs if not faced squarely, pose an extremely ominous future for mankind and may even lead to extinction of life.  

NASA scientist James Hansen widely considered the doyen of American climate research had said the world has a mere 10-year window of opportunity to take decisive action on global warming to avert a weather catastrophe. Humans are living beyond their ecological means and are now exhausting them at an unprecedented rate. In doing so, they are threatening themselves and all other species with extinction, emphasizes the bi-annual report of the WWF.  

New calculations on the decline in the planet’s capacity to provide food, fodder and timber, and absorbing of carbon dioxide, suggest we are using 25% more resources than are renewed naturally in a year. The ecological over sheet which has been growing steadily for over 40 years will in the present trend be 100% by mid-century, making the likelihood of large scale ecosystem collapse and conflict and political tension certain.   

The frightening calculations have been made by tracking down annual fortunes of 3600 populations of over 1300 land and marine species, and by factoring in climate changing carbon dioxide emissions, crop yields and fish harvests. The study underpins a 31% decline between 1970 and 2003 in population of land species and only slightly less in sea and fresh water species

Overfishing is now affecting the health of nearly all oceans. The most dramatic decline is seen in India and South-East Asia, points out the WWF report. In a country-wise scale of overuse of natural sources, the report held the UK as the 14th most profligate nation on earth. This was measured by calculating the amount of land and sea needed to produce the resources used by Britons and the amount of land needed to absorb their waste. The global average is roughly 2.2 hectares, but each person in Britain uses the equivalent of 5.6 hectares. “If everyone lived like we do, we would need three planets to support us,” said the WWF.

The UAE, however, is the most ecologically profligate part of the world, followed by the US. Bangladesh, Somalia, Afghanistan and Malawi have the smallest ecological footprints, whereas the US has the highest per person ecological deficit followed by the EU. The report, however proposes five ways to cut the global ecological deficit. Increase in population can be slowed down and turned into decreases by people having smaller families. The affluent can cut consumption and still improve their quality of life. The resources used in the production of goods can be greatly reduced. And, better management can reclaim land while rigorous protection of soils, fisheries and forests will help the planet produce more resources.

Another recent study by researchers in Washington has warned that the world’s fish and seafood production will collapse by 2048 if current trends in habitat destruction and overfishing continue, resulting in less food for humans. In an analysis of scientific data going back to 1960 and records over 1000 years, the researchers found that marine biodiversity, variety of ocean fish, shellfish, birds, plants and micro organism, had collapsed by 29 per cent. And, when ocean species collapse, it makes the ocean itself weaker and less able to recover from climate change.

In an audit of the world’s ecosystem services conducted over four years by 1300 researchers from 95 nations, it had been underpinned that 60% of the world’s ecosystem services were being used unsustainably and/or being degraded. Failing to curb our enthusiasm for just about all of the earth’s resources, including fresh water, fish stocks and virgin forests, means that between 10 and 30% of the world species face extinction, said this Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. 

Not surprisingly then, the latest solution to environmental mayhem seeks to take humans down a peg or two. Take, for example, biomimicry, an emerging science that gives nature credit for having 3.8 billion years experience in matters such as recycling and conservation, and suggests that we should not only talk to the animals in the manner of Dr. Dolittle, but actually learn from them.

So to curb climate-changing emissions caused by heating and cooling buildings, we should observe the way the termites regulate their mounds using complex web of tunnels. It works with plants, too. If you want to build a better solar cell, for example, follow the structure of a leaf. The audit eventually argues that this will lead us to design out waste and toxicity.

The havoc that global warming and climate change play as a WMD is reflected amply in the fact that over the last 30 years, natural disasters had affected five times more people than they did only a generation ago. This year alone, 117 million people have suffered from some 300 natural disasters, including devastating droughts in China and Africa and massive flooding throughout Asia and Africa, costing nearly $ 15 billion in damages.

The dangers are real. But so, too, are the opportunities we must seize--today without delay--to safeguard lives and livelihood. Three principles should guide us. First, be aware – and prepare. An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure. One dollar invested in disaster reduction today can save up to seven dollars tomorrow in relief and rehabilitation costs. The benefits of this investment will be calculated not only in dollars saved, but most importantly in saved lives.

Secondly, we need to strengthen our resilience to disasters and build ‘smarter and safer’ homes especially in high-risk regions. Disasters can also erase decades of development gains overnight. Thirdly, we need to get back to basics. Disaster risk reduction is fundamentally a matter of communication and education. Everyone has a role to play in making communities more resilient to nature’s hazards. Well-prepared evaluation plans, better land usage and environmental policies, public awareness campaigns, emergency broadcasting systems --- these steps and more can be taken today to help mitigate tomorrow’s threats.

Indeed, we must act today if we are to prevent calamity tomorrow. We have no time to lose. Global warming could change the face of our planet within the lifetime of our children or grand children. --INFA

(Copyright, India News and Feature Alliance)

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