Events & Issues
New
Delhi, 17 August 2009
Farmers
& Fertilizers
DIRECT SUBSIDY,
BETTER YIELD?
By Dr PK Vasudeva
The Government’s move to unshackle
the fertilizer industry is a great idea. The sooner we throw the sector open
the better. But, we must tread carefully as there is no guarantee that merely
by freeing the industry dramatic changes in availability and prices in favour
of farmers would result.
Farmers are increasingly using
chemical fertilizers for better output of their produce. However, they are not
getting direct subsidy from the Government as it goes to the fertilizer
industry. Therefore, the mode of delivering the fertilizer subsidy must rightly
shift from the producer to the farmer, who is the intended beneficiary.
None of the stakeholders — neither
the farmer, who is the product user nor the industry the producer or the
Government that doles out the subsidy — ever appeared happy with the extant
controls and restrictions. The country, regrettably is not self-reliant in
chemical fertilizers.
Among major fertilizers, the
critical bottleneck in the production of urea is the limited availability of
natural gas/LNG. DAP (Di-Ammonium Phosphate) production depends on availability
of imported raw material/intermediates such as rock phosphates, phosphoric
acid, sulphur, etc. Owing to limited availability and fluctuating prices of raw
materials/intermediates in the international market, production of DAP and
complex fertilizers has thus remained stagnant.
The consumption of fertilizers
during the 9th Five Year Plan and the initial years of the 10th
Five Year Plan has been stagnant. However, a combination of a good monsoon,
increase in cultivated area, improved awareness about usage of fertilizers and
better purchasing power in rural areas has resulted in a sharp increase in
consumption of fertilizers, especially since 2004-05.
Despite improving availability and
expanding usage of chemical fertilizers, per hectare consumption in nutrient
terms is around 115 kg only, far less than that of many other developing
countries. For instance, China
consumes close to 300 kg/ha. While rising consumption is a positive sign, the
productivity response has been rather muted. Well, around 70 per cent of the
total fertilizer consumption in the country is on foodgrain crops and most of
it is in irrigated areas.
In other words, there is a skew in
fertilizer consumption, with wide variation across States and regions. It is
also known that high-input regions of Punjab,
Haryana and Uttar Pradesh have become environmentally fragile. Besides, soil
health has deteriorated and the water table has declined to alarming levels.
Urgent steps to arrest the deterioration are needed. Crop diversification is a
must. The politically expedient policy-driven system of grain mono cropping
needs to be broken, and use of organic sources (bio-fertilizers) and the like
to restore soil health is warranted.
Importantly, in his Budget speech, Finance
Minister Pranab Mukherjee referred to the Government’s intention to shift to a
system of direct transfer of subsidy to the farmers. However, he did not
specify a timeline. Clearly, fertilizer subsidy is something the Government
will need to live with. The focus must, therefore, shift to the farmer. Currently,
for chemical fertilizers, the farmer spends on an average just about Rs 1,500
per hectare, although the cost of production is calculated to be several times
higher. The difference is absorbed as subsidy.
Besides, fertilizer subsidy has been
ballooning in recent years. It reached an unprecedented and wholly
unsustainable Rs 99,500 crore in 2008-09, up from Rs 43,300 crore in 2007-08
and Rs 28,000 crore in 2006-07. A sharp rise in international prices since
2006-07 and unchanged domestic prices account for a substantial portion of the
subsidy.
The Rs 99,500 crore fertilizer
subsidy Bill for 2008-09, translates to over Rs 5,000 crore per hectare of
cultivated land. Yet, on ground there is little to show in terms of output
growth. Though fertilizers are one of the key inputs for agriculture, the industry
is quite happy keeping it instead.
The Government is on record that as
per rough estimate, the total removal of plant nutrients (NPK) by foodgrain
crops is around 32 million tonnes (mt) at the present level of foodgrain
production of 230 mt. The replenishment of nutrients (NPK) through addition of
chemical fertilizers is nearly 16 mt assuming 70 per cent of 23 mt of fertilizer
nutrients is consumed by foodgrain crops.
About 6 mt of nutrients may be added
through manures, leaving a total nutrient gap of 10 mt. This gap has to be met
from bio-fertilizers and other nutrient sources. Besides, the imbalanced use of
chemical fertilizers (significantly different from the desirable ratio of
4:2:1) and low addition of organic matter over the years has caused widespread
multi-nutrient deficiencies and deterioration of soil health. The deficiencies
of sulphur, zinc and boron are said to be more widespread.
Clearly, soil conditions, crop type
and agronomy should dictate the amount and nature of fertilizers to be applied.
In the event, soil-test based site-specific integrated nutrient management is
necessary. Therefore, it calls for conjunctive use of inorganic and organic
sources of plant nutrients (compost, bio-fertilizers).
The maximum retail price of chemical
fertilizers has remained unchanged since February 2002 though the actual cost
of production is said to be roughly 4-5 times higher. At the current subsidised
MRP, the cost of 115 kg of fertiliser applied on an average per hectare works
out to approximately Rs 1,400 -1,500.
The gross area under cultivation of
major crops is an estimated 165 million hectares. Here is a simple calculation.
Assuming the Government delivers directly to farmers the fertilizer subsidy at
the rate of, say, Rs 4,000 a hectare, it would involve an outgo of Rs 66,000
crore; and at Rs 5,000 a hectare, the outgo would be Rs 82,500 crore.
Such direct payment would allow
farmers the freedom to access the most suitable fertilizer. It would also free
the industry from unnecessary restrictions and foster competition. This idea is
in no way intended to be the last word, but something that would trigger a
debate on how best to support farmers with direct subsidy even while allowing
the industry the freedom to operate and innovate.
A simplified solution to the vexed
issue of fertilizer pricing and delivery of subsidy would be to grant to the
farmer a direct subsidy at a fixed rate per hectare of land cultivated. The
gross area under major crops is 165 million hectares. If the farmer is granted
Rs 5,000 as subsidy per hectare, the total subsidy burden would be Rs 82,500
crore and at Rs 4,000 a hectare, it would be Rs 66,000 crore. The subsidy
amount can be delivered to farmers directly. Administrative hassles will be
minimised, if not eliminated. This, however, pre-supposes the farmers know what
they need and are in a position to source it.
Under the new regime, the
distribution of subsidy will be made through banks by way of utilising the data
of Kisan credit cards and cooperative bank figures. Other options include, no
frills account or farmers’ subsidy coupons by which they could procure their
requirements. Hopefully with this, policy makers seem to be keen to ward off
any further criticism that the extant regime favours manufacturers. Will it
suffice? --INFA
(Copyright,
India News and Feature Alliance)
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