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Economic Highlights
Corporate India And Politics:POLITICS ANOTHER BUSINESS ‘COMPANY’?,Shivaji Sarkar, 17 July 2008 |
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ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTS
New Delhi, 17 July 2008
Corporate India
And Politics
POLITICS ANOTHER BUSINESS ‘COMPANY’?
By Shivaji Sarkar
The Indian corporate is mired in politics. The recent
meeting of Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) Chairman Mukesh Ambani, with Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh and other top Government functionaries seemingly has
sent that message. It has caused discomfort in the political circles amid
speculations that corporate India
is playing games that only political parties should have played.
The Samajwadi Party (SP) leader Amar Singh has blown the
whistle that “a particular corporate house with its home in Narendra Modi’s Gujarat is engaged in destabilizing the Manmohan Singh Government
by poaching on a number of Samajwadi MPs for the benefit of the BJP-Left-BSP
combine”. The CPI leader AB Bardhan has gone beyond saying that MP’s are being
offered Rs 25 crore each to vote in favour of the trust vote.
Seemingly there is nothing wrong if a citizen calls on the Prime
Minister. But every ordinary citizen is not granted audition. If the richest
citizen is given such an opportunity at a time when the Government is facing a
crisis, there must be something special about it. More so, if he also meets the
Finance Minister P Chidambaram, Petroleum Minister Murli Deora, Political Secretary
to the Congress President Ahmed Patel and top bureaucrats --- Principal Secretary
to the Prime Minister TKA Nair and Cabinet Secretary CM Chandrashekhar.
The back-to-back engagements followed growing perception
that the Samajwadi Party’s dramatic entry into the UPA might change the power
equations for the other Amabani brother, Anil, who heads the rival Anil
Dhirubhai Ambani group. The family feud has led Amar Singh to demand imposition
of “windfall tax” on the private petroleum refineries like Mukesh’s RIL. Mukesh
has reportedly argued against such a tax.
A little earlier Amar Singh made a strong pitch for the Prime
Minister to work for a truce between the feuding Ambani brothers, arguing it
was necessary for the sake of the country’s economy. In political circles, this
was seen as a move to nudge Mukesh to the negotiating table over the several
disputes between the brothers, including the one over the Anil Ambani
controlled Reliance Communication’s (RCom) bid to acquire the South African
giant MTN.
Mukesh had put a wrench in RCom’s work’s by insisting that
he had the right of first refusal on any move to disinvest RCom. He also
refused Anil’s offer to talk things over.
Has the Prime Minister agreed to become the peacemaker? The
Prime Minister’s Office has denied this and said that the Government meets
leaders of industries from time to time and there is nothing unusual about it.
The BJP spokesman has reacted requesting the Prime Minister not to play the
“middle man”.
Some top political leaders from both the ruling and
opposition combine do not see it as a simple meeting. Specially, at a time when
the Government should bother more about political dialogues to save itself in
the trust vote. This is more so as the UPA’s chances of clearing the trial of
strength scheduled for 22 June largely hinge on the Samajwadi’s ability to
prevent desertions from its ranks. The estimate is that the BSP will spare no
effort to wean away SP MPs, who may be looking for political accommodation
outside the Samajwadi fold.
The course of events suggests a pattern that certainly
cannot comfort the democratic functioning. It hints at money power playing an
important role in destabilizing it. It also creates an eerie feeling that the
democratic mandate can be changed through machinations and manipulations.
Looking differently, it creates a perception that MPs and political parties are
up for sale. The Congress spokesperson Jayanthi Natarajan has called upon
Bardhan either to prove his allegation or tender an apology.
Natarajan’s statement may be a concern or simple political
rhetoric, but it laid bare a perception that democracy is just not run by the
mandate given by the people. There are other people who play truant with it.
This is certainly not a healthy trend. More so, if political parties either owe
allegiance or are owned by corporate masters. It is almost like another
“company” in the corporate functioning.
A top leader says that if you integrate globally, this is
something you cannot avoid. “The US”, he says, “is run by a few
corporate giants, who always talk of corporate sovereignty. Now India is also
aping the pattern”. He may be right but the US
since 1960s has also been debating the evil influence of the corporate
sovereignty, which has dragged the US
to many recent wars including in Iraq to protect their profits. In
other words, US citizens are fighting not for a national cause but for the
profit of some oil giants. Is India
heading for such a scenario?
It is, however, too naive to believe that corporate meddling
is a recent Indian phenomenon. Jawaharlal Nehru knew of it so he had decided to
have the Capital in Delhi away from the
financial influences of the then Bombay
(Mumbai now). The way Jayanti Shipping’s Mundhra was allowed to slip out of the
country, only speaks of the nexus even in 1950s. The links of his Minister TT
Krishnamachari with his company and the benefit that it could have was no
secret. It was also no secret that a number of MPs even in those days were
close to some industrial houses.
But neither the political persons nor the corporates were so
blatant as they are now. This is also a historical fact that the Government has
bailed out a number of corporate houses at times of their internal feud. The Government’s
financial institutions had bailed out the Escorts Nanda’s when they faced an
onslaught by another corporate (Swaraj Paul) group. The Government also
successfully played its role in the Russi Modi-Ratan Tata controversy to help
the Tata group.
The influence of the Dhirubhai Ambani group on the Government
functioning has been too well known since the early 1980s. It was even alleged
that some of the present top functionaries in the Government were too close to
Dhirubhai. One of them was reportedly denied a top Constitutional position for
such a past.
In different States, different corporates are known to be
playing their roles. Be it Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh,
Maharashtra, West Bengal or Uttar Pradesh. The
issue is whether the corporates benefit or the political leaders. Possibly both
use each other.
A number of debates have taken place in the past to keep off
such influence. More than the debates have been the tie up
leading to the present scenario. The reality is politics has become too
expensive. The funding pattern is murky. Till there is a clear funding pattern
such nexus would continue and so would the storm over a tea-cup.
While the nation would discuss ethics, politics and the corporates
would behave the way they want. Most global wars are now corporate wars and not
fights for ethical or national causes. In the ultimate, Mukesh, Anil and Amar
would continue to rule the roost because there is lack of political will to
contain it. ---- INFA
(Copyright India News & Features
Alliance)
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Tackling Corruption:POLITICAL WILL IMPERATIVE, by Dhurjati Mukherjee, 23 July 2008 |
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Open
Forum
New Delhi, 23 July 2008
Tackling
Corruption
POLITICAL
WILL IMPERATIVE
By
Dhurjati Mukherjee
A significant portion of the people living below
the poverty line (BPL) in India
paid bribes to access healthcare, education and water, among other facilities.
This was the startling findings of a joint study carried out by Transparency
International (TI) and the Centre for Media Studies (CMS) in 2007 which
estimated that one-third of the BPL households paid Rs 900 million as bribes in
the year for availing one or more of the 11 public services covered in the
survey.
The study revealed that the police topped the
chart in corruption in these 11 public services. Of the 5.6 million BPL
households that interacted with the police, a whopping 2.5 million paid Rs 2150
million as bribe for some work or the other and most of them went to the police
station for a simple registration of a complaint. Land records and registration
services came second in terms of monetary contribution as nearly 3.5 million
BPL households paid Rs 1224 million as bribe to get their work done.
The study also found out that the public
distribution system (PDS) was not readily available as 5.36 million BPL
households had to pay a bribe (or use a contact) to avail services that were
meant for them. A majority said they had bribed officials or staff to gat a
ration card. Similarly 4 million BPL households had to bribe hospital staff to
get service like getting admission, getting a bed, diagnostic services and
getting an OPD card.
Apart from this study, another startling report
last year found that foodgrains worth Rs 31,500 crores had been siphoned off
the PDS. Bluntly, people living below the poverty line were estimated to have
been cheated 53 per cent of the wheat and 39 per cent of the rice the State had
procured for them. It clearly revealed that the PDS has become a
state-sponsored largesse for black marketeers, a lot that includes babus, ration shop owners and various
other people, including political leaders and police officials.
These revelations clearly point to the
exploitation of the impoverished and backward sections of society as also the
poor governance of our socio-political system which breeds corruption. Obviously
the lack of education and awareness may have allowed such wanton corruption to
thrive. But it is indeed tragic that at such a juncture when the country is
moving forward, such high levels of corruption should retard the development
process.
Moreover in a country like ours which talks of
high ethical standards, it is indeed strange that corruption has penetrated
almost all sections of society, both in rural and urban areas, with the
Government remaining virtually a silent spectator.
In fact, cases of corruption are being flashed
in the media almost everyday. The corruption of the police force, from the
lowest to the highest levels, is well known and the Government’s initiative in
tackling this has not been successful in spite of all talks of reform. This is
more pronounced in the Hindi belt such as Bihar,
U.P., Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh etc. where money power rules over
everything.
The unethical practices and the decline in moral
standards have corrupted a greed-based society and this is not limited to
police and administrative officials but also percolated to educational
institutions. The former Vice Chancellors of Himachal Pradesh, Utkal and Viswa Bharati
Universities were implicated on
charges of corruption while the Bihar universities
have the dubious distinction of awarding fake degrees. It has been estimated
that more than 10,000 persons from Bihar, West Bengal,
Jharkhand, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh obtained such post graduate degrees.
Even the armed forces have lost credibility
owing to widespread corruption in their ranks. Also illegal gratification by
some judges has had a damaging effect on the judiciary, which even a few years
back was not known.
It is indeed unfortunate that there is hardly
any deterrent effect on corrupt officials as the process of conviction is slow
and has not made an impact. Besides, corrupt officials go scott free as
sometimes they have links at the highest levels and manage to evade punishment.
Consequently, corruption has been flourishing with more and more instances
coming to light. The major problem in controlling corruption is because
political leaders, who profess probity in public life and proclaim to curb
corruption, are not serious in this regard. Special mention may be made in this
regard to police officials who work hand-in-glove with political leaders to aid
and abet corruption.
Drastic changes and reforms are imperative to
weed out unethical professionals and corrupt practices from the administration,
including the police force, academic and public institutions. These should
include speeding up conviction of corrupt officials, stringent punishment and
stoppage of promotion (for at least 5 to 10 years) for all Government
officials, crucial postings for clean officials, specially those in the police,
(and not on considerations of closeness with political leaders), removal of all
corrupt officials from procurement/purchase in Government offices, hospitals,
police forces etc. it is also necessary to give more power and teeth to the
CBI, enhancing its strength and empowering it to make checks on hospitals,
State police stations and wherever necessary suo motu.
With the introduction of the Right to
Information Act (RTI), the Government has tried to bring in some measure of
transparency and accountability in the administrative process. But most people
do not know to make use of the RTI for which there is need to generate
awareness campaigns at the district and block levels by the Government in
collaboration with NGOs and CBOs.
The voluntary organizations, which are funded
for different projects, should also be given money for projects related to
anti-corruption campaigns, specially in the rural areas, jointly with the panchayats and police, if necessary, and
awarded for highlighting cases of corruption.
The Prime Minister and the former President,
Abdul Kalam have been talking of corruption as a major challenge before the
Government. A few months ago, Manmohan Singh told the conference of Chief
Ministers and High Court Chief Justices, “apart from pendency and delayed
justice, corruption is another challenge we face both in Government and the
judiciary.” The agenda paper at the conference cited the mountain of pending
corruption cases against Government officials and stressed the need for special
courts for their speedy disposal.
A suggestion regarding nyayalayas proposed that trial courts at the intermediate panchayat level would ease the load by
dealing with simple civil and criminal cases, specially those relating to
corruption. Over 5000 such courts are proposed to be established and they would
dispense justice within 90 days but the Bill is yet to be passed.
Thus, such innovative steps need to be taken
without further delay if corruption in public life has to be tackled
effectively. Curbing corruption can only become a reality if the corrupt are
brought to book and punishment awarded at the earliest. This can only mitigate
the sufferings of the poor and impoverished sections of society who happen to
be the worst sufferers of a corrupt system.
It is not difficult to visualize a
corruption-free society but for this to fructify, efforts have to be made by
all sections of society to inculcate moral values in our life and shun
materialistic standards and practices. But more than anything else political
will at the highest level is imperative.---- INFA
(Copyright, India
News & Feature Alliance)
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Political Confusion in Delhi:HAS CONGRESS WRITTEN OF FUTURE?,by T.D. Jagadesan,18 July 2008 |
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Open Forum
New Delhi, 18 July 2008
Political Confusion
in Delhi
HAS CONGRESS WRITTEN
OF FUTURE?
By T.D. Jagadesan
As the Communist Party (M)-led Left drives the knife deeper
and deeper into the Congress-led UPA Government at the Centre, especially after
the Karnataka electorate gave no quarter to any Left Party and foiled the
Congress’s ambition to ride back to power in that State, Congressmen are stated
to be in a penitent and retrospective mood.
The confusion in the ruling party at the Centre is magnified
by the crisis of inflation that has already hit growth in the last two quarters
and is all set to intensify if experts are to be believed.
Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, being an economist of repute,
should know in depth what growth and inflation mean. He assures the country
that his Government would ride both the horses at the same time. He told a
recent business chamber (Assocham) meeting: “our Government is focused on
reversing the recent surge in headline inflation rates. It has been our
endeavour to tame inflationary expectations without hurting the rhythm of the
growth process and also to protect the weaker sections against rising prices.”
Even as Dr. Singh was announcing this “endeavour” the inflation
rate crossed the 8% barrier and manufacturing growth slumped once again. His
reply to this situation is: “I am confident that the mix of policies we have
adopted will yield results once the impact of a normal monsoon is felt.” That
of course is a clever political statement as it leaves a door open if the
policy mix does not work: a bad monsoon.
For the time being, let us give Manmohan Singh full marks
for his policy mix. What is the policy mix he has in mind? He says it would be
growth-oriented. He rules out going back to the era of blind controls. At the
same time, we have to have the fiscal means to protect the poor from the
adverse impact of inflation.
All right, agreed. We need not even dispute his contention
that on oil prices, the “protection” offered to the people by raising the
prices only marginally “cannot continue for ever.”
The question should be: What prevents the Centre from
implementing this “policy mix”? Regarding the “key priority areas” (in his own
words) “of infrastructure, agriculture and education,” his Minister in charge
of road building is busy changing the National Highway Authority of India (NHAI)
Chief every six months because, according to reports, the official selected
each time fails to satisfy the Minister’s demands.
Meanwhile, the rollout of the great projects that the NDA
launched like the Golden Quadrilateral has decelerated. The Indian Express
reported on May 30: “Last year, the national highway projects crawled the
slowest ever.” The Minister concerned at the same time is very much concerned
with pushing the “infrastructure” for an industrial unit set up by his son as
was revealed in the last days of the last session of Parliament.
As for education, the Minister in charge is all focused not
so much on expansion etc., but on pushing his idea of quotas. Among those who
are chafing over the politicization of inclusive growth are his own colleagues
who think that he is targeting the Prime Minister. All reports on recent
Cabinet meetings and on the Congress leadership consultations have revealed
this attempt to politicize the quota issue.
The higher educational institutions are groaning under the
Arjun Singh effect as the senior Congressman from Madhya Pradesh is trying to
hijack the OBC quota issue to preen his own nest and promote the Prime Ministerial
candidate-in-waiting in the Congress Party. It appears that only the Prime
Minister and his Finance Minister are talking of what Manmohan Singh described
as “open economies and open societies functioning within consensually arrived
at rules of the game.”
Nobody else in their Party was ever heard of pushing the
envelope on economic reforms that are pending for several years now. For
instance, the ones on banking, insurance and power. Even the attempt to
disinvest Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) without losing Government control
over them is blocked by some within the UPA and mostly by the Left that till yesterday
had the final say on economic reforms.
Interestingly, the Left is no wiser. It is riven with
dissensions as reality hits it on both sides. In the Left-ruled West Bengal the recent upsets the Marxists suffered in
the panchayat elections have hit the
“reformist” Chief Minister Buddhadeb Bhattacharya hard. He had to announce that
there was no going back on industrialization after several of his Partymen
questioned the wisdom of the industrialization policy he has been pushing
through against much opposition from within and without.
No Party in the past has written out its own death warrant
as the Congress is apparently doing now with the Left achieving its political
objective of breaking the Congress hold on the country and the latter kowtowing
to it. ---INFA
(Copyright,
India News and Feature Alliance)
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N-Deal & Arushi Case:IS THIS ALL THAT MATTERS?, by Dr. Syed Ali Mujtaba,15 July 2008 |
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Events & Issues
New Delhi, 15 July 2008
N-Deal & Arushi
Case
IS THIS ALL THAT
MATTERS?
By Dr. Syed Ali
Mujtaba
In New Delhi
there are two dramas that are currently being staged. One is the nuclear deal
and the second is the twin murder mystery that rocked the neighbourhood of the
national capital recently. Thanks to the national media, the entire country is
forced to follow the two dramas, scene by scene, frame by frame. It seems both
the media and the Government are consciously engaged in diverting the people’s attention
from the prices of essential commodities, hitting the roof.
As far as the nuke deal is concerned it is plain and simple
politics. The ruling Congress which is piloting the nuclear civil deal with the
US
is at loggerheads with its own allies; the Left, who are oppose to the deal. By
pulling out of the government, the Left has reduced the ruling alliance into a
minority. The Congress, the dominant partner in the UPA, instead of seeking
truce with its Left allies, is hobnobbing with other political parties to
muster political majority. It is resorting to horse trading to reach the
magical figure of 272 to pass the floor test in the Lok Sabha.
There seems to be a sense of desperation in the current
dispensation, which is keen to override the domestic agenda for foreign policy
considerations. This political wisdom is logic of a rare kind. There are so
many issues that are left out hanging due to lack of consensus and instead the
Government is going ahead with other issues. However, the desperation to clear
the N-deal is something unprecedented -- as if the national existence would
fall into jeopardy if the deal doesn’t go through at the stipulated time. This
is simply intriguing and as rightly commented “what‘s the deal behind the deal?”
However, more than the nuke-deal, it’s the Arushi-Hemraj
murder mystery case that’s gathering a huge TRP rating on the TV channels. Even
though it doesn't concern the common man, the TV channels have been selling
this story like a hot potato for two months now. The entire country is forced
to solve the murder mystery of a minor girl Arushi Talwar and a domestic help
Hemraj, committed at home in Noida, Uttar Pradesh.
The TV channels sought to force down throats a story that when
Arushi’s father, Talwar found his daughter in objectionable situation with
Hemraj, he killed the two in a fit of rage. A simple honour killing case which leaves
many a question unanswered. Can a father kill his own daughter? If the father
is the killer, could the mother remain silent? Is she a mother first or a wife
first?
The channels, conducting a media trial on the TV screen have
shown no respect to the parents, the mental agony they might have been
undergoing due the murder of their daughter. Imagine, had the murder suspect
been some political bigwig, could the same channels have been able to sell this
story for two months uninterrupted? Can one even think how many TV channels would
have been up in flames by now? Poor Mr Talwar, who is neither a Ram Sevak nor a
Shiv Sainik, is in no position to gather a mob to silence the canard on the TV
and thus has little option but to quietly suffer the humiliation.
The big question is who has given a license to the TV
channels to conduct such media trials and play with the sentiments of an
individual? Can channels be pulled up for such crimes? Or will this become an
order of the day, carried forward in the name of providing entertainment?
If the TV channels are going overboard, the investigating
agencies have been equally callous in handling this case. Willy-nilly the
premier investigative agency, the CBI too fell prey to the concocted story of
honour killings. Talwar was kept in confinement for 50 days to be released on
bail when no evidence could be mustered against him. The father was innocent
and the crime committed by his staff.
However, this case brings out some very hard questions to
which the people of the country may like to have answers. Is every Indian guilty till the police
exonerate him/ her of the charges? Can the investigative agencies have such
sweeping powers that it can detain a person for indefinite time on mere grounds
of suspicion? Can it retrieve its action without any accountability? Who will
compensate the person for the harrowing and tarnished moments that comes with
such arrest?
I am aware of a case where a person was picked up and had to
languish in jail for 12 years till he was proven innocent. This case is of
Kolkata, where a bomb blast had taken place some time in the 70s. The guy in
question who was in his 20’s then was having his hair cut in a barber’s shop
when the blast took place. The police who came looking for the suspect, found
the identity of this guy (wearing a sleeveless singlet and a technicolor lungi)
similar to what they had imagined and so simply picked him up.
His mother, who lived in a remote village in Bihar could hardly afford any money to travel to Kolkatta
to fight his son’s case. Unfortunately, there were not many human rights’
activists then who may have taken up this case. The man spent 12 years in jail for
a crime that he never committed. His name is Bharati, and I know him well.
To cut a long story short, Union Minister Renuka Choowdhary,
who has spoken on the Arushi Talwar murder case and has advised the father to
sue the Uttar Pradesh police for tarnishing his image. Why not the honourable
minister herself files a public interest litigation case against the UP police,
the CBI and the TV channels for misrepresentation of facts in this case? Where
are the professional PIL petitioners, who at the slightest pretext are ready to
file one more plea, adding to the court’s litigations? Why don’t they come out
and fight against such injustices? Well, to give advice is easy but to fight
for a cause very difficult. Time, we all made a contribution to change things
around. ---INFA
(Copyright,
India News and Feature Alliance)
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Climate Change Plan:ENERGY EFFICIENT LIVING VITAL, by Dhurjati Mukherjee,18 July 2008 |
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People & Their
Problems
New Delhi, 18 July 2008
Climate Change Plan
ENERGY EFFICIENT LIVING VITAL
By Dhurjati Mukherjee
Climate change is no longer a distant scientific prognosis
but has become a reality today. The anthropogenic increases in emissions of
greenhouse gases and aerosols in the atmosphere have steadily resulted in a
change and rise in the Earth’s temperature. Apart from the melting glaciers and
ice-caps, climate change has had a powerful effect on our lives. With floods
inundating Mumbai streets or some other part of the country every year, the
monsoon-causing dengue outbreaks in Delhi
each year and heat waves becoming a part of Chennai life, environmental changes
are touching our lives every day.
It is in this perspective that the relevance of the
country’s National Action Plan on Climate Change has to be seen as a step
in the right direction as energy-efficient living has become imperative today.
“Our vision is to make India’s
economic development energy efficient”, the Prime Minister declared releasing
the document. This is expected to spur action by different arms of the
Government, sections of the industry and eventually by all stakeholders in
society. The Plan makes it clear that steps are part of an overall strategy to
“promote development objectives while also yielding co-benefits of addressing
climate change effectively”.
The Action Plan aims to boost solar power generation in the
country besides launching 7 other programmes in mission mode towards greenhouse
gas reduction and adaptation to inevitable climate change. A national solar
energy mission would promote expansion of solar-powered electricity and fund
research projects specifically aimed at developing “disruptive innovations”
that would help solar energy compete with fossil fuels. The mission is also
expected to increase local photo-voltaic productions to a level of 1000MW per
annum as early as possible though this may take some time to actually become a
reality.
Both China
and India
have come under growing pressure to take measures to reduce future emissions
and adoption of cleaner technologies and this has been envisaged in the Action
Plan. However, it needs to be pointed out here that richer and more polluting
nations like the US with a
per capita emission figure of 20.1, European Union 9.40 and Japan 9.87
ought to implement the Kyoto Protocol reduction targets before expecting
developing countries to make parallel commitments. Besides, the Kyoto Protocol
expires in 2012 and discussions are already underway to finalize another more
comprehensive agreement by the end of next year.
Also, like China, India has stuck to its official
position of not setting itself any CO2 emission reduction targets. China is
currently implementing the ‘20% Target’ which aims to cut the amount of energy
consumed per dollar of economic output by 20% within the next two years. This
is expected to cut 1.5b tonnes carbon dioxide emissions annually by 2010 and
removing 234 large (1000MW) old coal-fired power plants. Similarly, India has
rightly decided to formulate an Action Plan and take some measures in this
regard.
Meanwhile at the G-8 conference held
Japan
recently, leaders of the world’s richest nations pledged “to move towards a low
carbon society” and endorsed the idea of cutting greenhouse gas emission (GHG)
in half by 2050. However, they did not specify whether the starting point would
be current levels or 1990 levels and refused to set a short-term target for
reducing the gases, though climate change ‘is one of the great global
challenges of our time”. The developing countries (G-5) in a statement released
at the Summit
pointed out that the developed countries take the lead in achieving ambitious
and absolute GHG emissions reduction. The G-5 said the developed countries
should aim at emission cuts of 25 to 40% of the 1990 levels by 2020 and 80 to
95% by 2050.
Steps to combat global warming has
become imperative today as various scientific studies have concluded the
adverse effects of temperature increase on human life and its prosperity. For
example, an impact assessment on the hydrology of Indian rivers has found out
that conditions may deteriorate in terms of severity of droughts and floods in
several parts of the country. Kutch and Saurashtra which occupies about
one-fourth of the area of Gujarat and 60% of
Rajasthan would face acute water shortage conditions. Even the Cauvery and
Ganga would experience seasonal (or regular) water-stressed conditions while
Godavari and Mahanadi are predicted to face
flood conditions. Water scarcity may become a reality in most parts of the
country in the not-too-distant future.
The other important aspect of
climate change and increased precipitation will be on agricultural
productivity. While in some regions, the increase in local mean temperature of
up to 1-3 degrees C may increase production, there is expected to be a fall in
crop yields of as much as 25% as the tropics would be greatly affected.
A study done in 2001 projected that
with 2 degrees C increase in temperature and 7% increase in precipitation, the
net revenue of the country would decline by 8.4%. Losses expected from climate
change on agriculture would be more. This would be due to warmer conditions
that the farmers face under the present climatic conditions, specially the
small and marginal farmers with less land holding.
The impact on coastal areas would
come from the rise in sea level and the possibility of more storms. The most
important concern is the future of the low-lying delta regions, particularly in
the Ganges in the eastern part of the country.
A one metre sea level rise would inundate up to 30,000 sq km in Bangladesh and more than 5000 sq km in India,
displacing millions of coastal dwellers. Besides, losing space, coastal areas
would be adversely affected by salt water intrusion into groundwater aquifers
and stronger storm surges.
Climate change will also lead to an
increase in the incidence of diseases as it affects the breeding environment of
disease vectors. In India (and in most tropical countries), the rise in
temperature is expected to spread malaria endemic in a much larger area while
water scarcity (coupled with lack of sanitation) may lead to an increase in
water-borne diseases. The nutrition status may also be affected as warming may
affect crop productivity because of its location.
A recent report has found that India would overtake the US as the second largest emitter of carbon from
energy use by 2050 after China.
“Together these two emerging giants are projected to account for around 45% of
global carbon emissions from energy by 2050 compared with only around 20% of
the global trade for the US and the EUcombined”, the report predicted.
Managing climate change involves
exhaustive exploration and discovery of organizational potential, business
processes and options for GHG abatement through research and development.
Adoption of the right strategy for mitigating long-term climate change risks
need to be taken immediately. While renewable energy resources have to be
harnessed with appropriate technology on a time-bound basis, control of
emissions have also to be taken up in an effective manner. We need to integrate
‘carbon risk and opportunity’ into a company’s core strategy framework for
navigating it towards a new sustainable growth horizon.
Clearly, the National Environment
Policy 2006 and the National Action Plan on Climate Change 2008 should help the country take the proper steps towards
climate change mitigation strategies. We need to identify and check climate
change impacts on human health, water resources, coastal areas and agriculture
and formulate programmes and strategies for effective promotion and
implementation in areas like watershed management and rainwater harvesting,
coastal zone planning and regulation, agricultural technologies and practices
and health programmes.
The key to reduce GHG lies in
expanding renewable energy like solar and wind power and reducing dependence on
carbon-laden fossil fuels through optimum energy efficiency. Sadly, the Action
Plan does not specify regulatory enforcement of energy efficiency standards on
any industry, except automobiles though there has been a shift in approach
wherein growth is contemplated through renewable energy. In fact, the process
has already started and even private firms are being encouraged to set up
solar, hydro and wind-based power plants.
Further, India has plans to have 15%
electricity from renewable resources by 2020 and experts believe it would save
10,000 MW by 2012. If proper steps are taken at this point of time and
renewable energy exploited in a big way, the emission increase projections of
the country in the coming years might be controlled to a considerable extent.
---INFA
(Copyright,
India News and Feature Alliance)
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